Monday, May 16, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: John Lamb vs. Cody Anderson
The Cincinnati Reds visit Progressive Field on Monday to play the Cleveland Indians. The probable starters are John Lamb for the Reds and Cody Anderson for the Indians. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +135 and Cleveland at -160. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Reds have a 19-14-3 over/under record and a 18-18-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Indians are 13-20-0 against the run line and have a 17-13-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 39% of the time.
The Reds head into this matchup with a 14-22 record, including 2-12 on the road. Starting pitcher John Lamb has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.20. He has 7 strikeouts over his 10 innings pitched and he has given up 8 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.18. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 6.07 and they have given up 135 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .266 against the bullpen while being struck out 110 times and walking 65 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.09 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.23 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.11. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 318 base hits and 179 earned runs. They have allowed 64 home runs this season and they allow 1.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 152 batters and struck out 253. They walk 4.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.49 and their FIP as a unit is 5.77.
As a team, Cincinnati is batting .233, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .227 average away from home. The Reds hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .289 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.47 hits per game. Joey Votto comes into this game hitting .224 and his on-base percentage is at .366. He has 26 hits this season along with 14 runs scored and 20 runs batted in. He's struck out 37 times and has walked 23 times. Zack Cozart is hitting .315 and he has an on-base percentage of .316. He has totaled 34 hits so far while scoring 20 runs and he's driven in 13. He has walked 2 times and has struck out 15 times. The Reds have 269 hits, including 63 doubles and 37 home runs. They've stolen 23 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 14 times. Cincinnati has walked 83 times this season and they've struck out 288 times as a unit. They've left 181 men on base and have a team OPS of .686. They score 4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 144 runs so far this year.
Cleveland comes into this matchup with a 9-7 home record and a 17-16 overall mark. With an earned run average of 7.31, Cody Anderson has a 0-3 record and a 1.66 WHIP. He has 20 strikeouts over the 28.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 42 hits. He has allowed 13.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.98. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.78 and they have given up 90 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 95 times and walking 45 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.26 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.80. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 259 base knocks and 126 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 37 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a staff has walked 101 hitters and struck out 274. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.21 while their FIP as a staff is 3.95.
As a team, they are batting .246, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .257 average at home. The Indians hold a .389 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308 which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.36 hits per contest. Jason Kipnis comes into this matchup batting .280 and he has an OBP of .329. He has 37 hits this year along with 19 runs scored and 16 RBI. He's struck out 37 times and has walked on 11 occasions. Francisco Lindor is hitting .305 and he has an OBP of .361. He has collected 40 hits so far while he's scored 22 runs and drove in 14. He has earned a walk 11 times and has punched out 24 times. The Indians as a unit have 276 base hits, including 58 doubles and 30 homers. They have 22 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 8 times. Cleveland as a team has walked 101 times this year and they have struck out 284 times. They've had 204 men left on base and have an OPS of .698. They score 4.3 runs per game and have totaled 142 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 19-14-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 18-18-0 against the run line so far this season
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 17-13-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 13-20-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/10/16 P John Lamb Thumb "?" for next scheduled start
05/09/16 P Jon Moscot Shoulder 15-day DL (5/3)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 15-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 15-day DL (5/10)
05/02/16 C Roberto Perez Thumb 60-day DL (5/2)
04/25/16 P Carlos Carrasco Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24)
Tony's Pick: Take the Reds
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