Thursday, June 2, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Alfredo Simon vs. Eddie Butler
The Cincinnati Reds visit Coors Field on Thursday to play the Colorado Rockies. The probable starters are Alfredo Simon for the Reds and Eddie Butler for the Rockies. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +162 and Colorado at -172. The over/under was set at 11.5. The Reds have a 30-18-4 over/under record and a 25-27-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Rockies are 27-24-0 against the run line and have a 27-23-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
The Reds head into this matchup with a 17-35 record, including 5-20 on the road. Starting pitcher Alfredo Simon has a 1-5 record with an earned run average of 9.60 and a WHIP of 2.06. He has 28 strikeouts over his 40.1 innings pitched and he has given up 64 hits so far this season. He has allowed 14.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.57. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 6.76 and they have given up 202 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .272 against the bullpen while being struck out 166 times and walking 117 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.75 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.26 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.83. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 492 base hits and 294 earned runs. They have allowed 89 home runs this season and they allow 1.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 239 batters and struck out 366. They walk 4.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.61 and their FIP as a unit is 5.81.
As a team, Cincinnati is batting .233, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .236 average away from home. The Reds hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .289 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.6 hits per game. Joey Votto comes into this game hitting .213 and his on-base percentage is at .330. He has 38 hits this season along with 25 runs scored and 30 runs batted in. He's struck out 57 times and has walked 28 times. Zack Cozart is hitting .298 and he has an on-base percentage of .324. He has totaled 48 hits so far while scoring 26 runs and he's driven in 18. He has walked 6 times and has struck out 21 times. The Reds have 395 hits, including 87 doubles and 58 home runs. They've stolen 27 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. Cincinnati has walked 119 times this season and they've struck out 419 times as a unit. They've left 266 men on base and have a team OPS of .688. They score 4.04 runs per contest and have scored a total of 210 runs so far this year.
Colorado comes into this matchup with a 10-13 home record and a 24-27 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.13, Eddie Butler has a 2-2 record and a 1.07 WHIP. He has 21 strikeouts over the 32.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 31 hits. He has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.98. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.42 and they have given up 188 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the Rockies bullpen while being struck out 146 times and walking 54 times this season. As a team, Colorado has allowed 9.91 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.29 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.13. The Rockies pitchers as a team have surrendered 499 base knocks and 258 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 54 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Colorado as a staff has walked 150 hitters and struck out 367. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.15.
As a team, they are batting .276, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .301 average at home. The Rockies hold a .465 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.67 hits per contest. Carlos Gonzalez comes into this matchup batting .312 and he has an OBP of .354. He has 62 hits this year along with 35 runs scored and 22 RBI. He's struck out 39 times and has walked on 13 occasions. Nolan Arenado is hitting .287 and he has an OBP of .358. He has collected 56 hits so far while he's scored 37 runs and drove in 43. He has earned a walk 21 times and has punched out 23 times. The Rockies as a unit have 494 base hits, including 107 doubles and 65 homers. They have 19 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 18 times. Colorado as a team has walked 150 times this year and they have struck out 394 times. They've had 336 men left on base and have an OPS of .798. They score 5.16 runs per game and have totaled 263 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 30-18-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 25-27-0 against the run line so far this season
Colorado Rockies Betting Trends
The Colorado Rockies are 27-23-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Colorado Rockies are 27-24-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/31/16 2B Brandon Phillips Foot "?" Wednesday vs. Colorado Rockies
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 60-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
05/25/16 P Boone Logan Shoulder 15-day DL (5/18)
05/20/16 P Christian Bergman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/13/16 SS Jose Reyes Suspension 51-game suspension, eligible to return (6/1)
05/07/16 C Nick Hundley Oblique 15-day DL (5/6)
04/10/16 P Adam Ottavino Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jairo Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Tyler Anderson Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Reds
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