Saturday, June 18, 2016
Minute Maid Park
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Probable Pitchers: Cody Reed vs. Dallas Keuchel
The Cincinnati Reds head to Minute Maid Park on Saturday to take on the Houston Astros. The probable pitchers are Cody Reed for the Reds and Dallas Keuchel for the Astros. The opening line for this game has Cincinnati at +233 and Houston at -255. The over/under is 8.5. The Reds have a 38-24-5 over/under mark and a 35-32-0 run line record, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Astros are 30-37-0 against the run line and have a 31-31-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 45% of the time.
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The Reds head into this game with a 26-41 record, and they are 9-22 on the road. Starting pitcher Cody Reed will be making his season debut for the Reds. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 6.19 and they have allowed 263 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .273 against the pen while they've been struck out 210 times and walked 133 times this year. As a unit, Cincinnati has given up 9.67 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.02 hitters per nine. They are 30th in the Majors in team earned run average at 5.44. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 635 base hits and 357 earned runs. They have allowed 109 home runs this season and they allow 1.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 291 batters and struck out 461. They walk 4.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.57 and their FIP as a unit is 5.62.
As a team, Cincinnati is hitting .240, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .239 average on the road. The Reds have a .410 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .298 which is good for 28th in the league. They rank 27th in baseball with 7.91 hits per contest. Zack Cozart comes into this game hitting .278 and his on-base percentage is at .313. He has 60 hits this season along with 35 runs scored and 25 runs batted in. He's struck out 31 times and has walked 11 times. Jay Bruce is hitting .273 and he has an on-base percentage of .329. He has totaled 62 hits so far while scoring 40 runs and he's driven in 51. He has walked 18 times and has struck out 52 times. The Reds have 529 hits, including 115 doubles and 79 home runs. They've stolen 47 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 23 times. Cincinnati has walked 169 times this season and they've struck out 565 times as a unit. They've left 358 men on base and have a team OPS of .707. They score 4.37 runs per contest and have scored a total of 293 runs so far this year.
Houston comes into this game with a 17-14 home mark and a 32-35 overall record. With an ERA of 5.54, Dallas Keuchel has a 3-9 record and a 1.44 WHIP. He has 81 strikeouts over the 87.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 97 hits. He has allowed 10 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.83. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.13 and they have given up 189 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the Astros bullpen while being struck out 247 times and walking 53 times this season. As a team, Houston has allowed 8.99 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.43 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.09. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 611 base knocks and 278 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 72 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a staff has walked 182 hitters and struck out 573. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 3.76.
As a team, they are batting .237, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .232 average at home. The Astros hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.09 hits per contest. Jose Altuve comes into this matchup batting .346 and he has an OBP of .421. He has 91 hits this year along with 47 runs scored and 38 RBI. He's struck out 27 times and has walked on 32 occasions. Carlos Correa is hitting .257 and he has an OBP of .351. He has collected 62 hits so far while he's scored 29 runs and drove in 32. He has earned a walk 32 times and has punched out 70 times. The Astros as a unit have 542 base hits, including 114 doubles and 81 homers. They have 56 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 18 times. Houston as a team has walked 255 times this year and they have struck out 646 times. They've had 463 men left on base and have an OPS of .719. They score 4.19 runs per game and have totaled 281 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 38-24-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 35-32-0 against the run line so far this season
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 31-31-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 30-37-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/16/16 CF Billy Hamilton Concussion 7-day DL (6/9); expected to be activated Friday
06/14/16 C Jordan Pacheco Shoulder 15-day DL (6/13)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
No key injuries to report
Josh's Pick: Take the Astros
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