Wednesday, August 31, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Brandon Finnegan vs. Ricky Nolasco
The Cincinnati Reds visit Angel Stadium on Wednesday to play the Los Angeles Angels. The probable starters are Brandon Finnegan for the Reds and Ricky Nolasco for the Angels. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +123 and Los Angeles at -133. The over/under was set at 9. The Reds have a 72-48-10 over/under record and a 70-60-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Angels are 62-69-0 against the run line and have a 59-67-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
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The Reds head into this matchup with a 55-75 record, including 23-42 on the road. Starting pitcher Brandon Finnegan has a 8-9 record with an earned run average of 4.27 and a WHIP of 1.35. He has 118 strikeouts over his 147.2 innings pitched and he has given up 127 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.47. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.06 and they have given up 460 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the bullpen while being struck out 425 times and walking 240 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.16 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.66 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.00. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 1,182 base hits and 645 earned runs. They have allowed 212 home runs this season and they allow 1.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 509 batters and struck out 989. They walk 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 5.29.
As a team, Cincinnati is batting .250, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .246 average away from home. The Reds hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.45 hits per game. Zack Cozart comes into this game hitting .264 and his on-base percentage is at .314. He has 112 hits this season along with 63 runs scored and 47 runs batted in. He's struck out 74 times and has walked 31 times. Joey Votto is hitting .308 and he has an on-base percentage of .431. He has totaled 134 hits so far while scoring 83 runs and he's driven in 78. He has walked 94 times and has struck out 109 times. The Reds have 1,097 hits, including 220 doubles and 142 home runs. They've stolen 113 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 38 times. Cincinnati has walked 371 times this season and they've struck out 1,050 times as a unit. They've left 783 men on base and have a team OPS of .719. They score 4.5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 585 runs so far this year.
Los Angeles comes into this matchup with a 30-33 home record and a 57-74 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.24, Ricky Nolasco has a 4-12 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 113 strikeouts over the 154.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 175 hits. He has allowed 10.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.54. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.80 and they have given up 413 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Angels bullpen while being struck out 353 times and walking 146 times this season. As a team, Los Angeles has allowed 7.81 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.23 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.77. The Angels pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,215 base knocks and 572 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 173 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 402 hitters and struck out 913. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.69.
As a team, they are batting .249, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .245 average at home. The Angels hold a .410 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.5 hits per contest. Kole Calhoun comes into this matchup batting .270 and he has an OBP of .352. He has 132 hits this year along with 78 runs scored and 59 RBI. He's struck out 98 times and has walked on 59 occasions. Mike Trout is hitting .316 and he has an OBP of .434. He has collected 143 hits so far while he's scored 100 runs and drove in 84. He has earned a walk 91 times and has punched out 113 times. The Angels as a unit have 1,166 base hits, including 222 doubles and 129 homers. They have 46 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 27 times. Los Angeles as a team has walked 380 times this year and they have struck out 790 times. They've had 847 men left on base and have an OPS of .734. They score 4.47 runs per game and have totaled 585 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 72-48-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 70-60-0 against the run line so far this season
Los Angeles Angels Betting Trends
The Los Angeles Angels are 59-67-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Los Angeles Angels are 62-69-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/30/16 CF Jose Peraza Jaw left last game, "?" Tuesday vs. Los Angeles Angels
08/29/16 P Homer Bailey Bicep "?" for next scheduled start
08/04/16 P A.J. Morris Shoulder 15-day DL (6/16)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
Los Angeles Angels
08/21/16 3B Yunel Escobar Concussion 7-day (8/20)
08/18/16 C Geovany Soto Knee 15-day DL (8/15)
08/14/16 LF Shane Robinson Hip 15-day DL (8/13)
08/10/16 P Cam Bedrosia Finger 15-day DL (8/4)
08/02/16 P Huston Street Knee 15-day DL (8/2); out for season
07/20/16 P Nick Tropeano Elbow 60-day DL (7/19)
06/14/16 P Cory Rasmus Groin 60-day DL (6/14)
05/10/16 P Garrett Richards Elbow 60-day DL (5/2)
04/06/16 P Andrew Heaney Elbow 60-day DL (4/4), out for season
04/03/16 P C.J. Wilson Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25), out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Reds
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