Sunday, May 29, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Brandon Finnegan vs. Jimmy Nelson
The Cincinnati Reds visit Miller Park on Sunday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Brandon Finnegan for the Reds and Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +138 and Milwaukee at -118. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Reds have a 27-18-3 over/under record and a 22-26-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Brewers are 24-24-0 against the run line and have a 25-20-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Reds head into this matchup with a 15-33 record, including 3-18 on the road. Starting pitcher Brandon Finnegan has a 1-3 record with an earned run average of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.36. He has 40 strikeouts over his 56.2 innings pitched and he has given up 50 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.27. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 6.49 and they have given up 182 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .268 against the bullpen while being struck out 149 times and walking 103 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.58 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.26 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.55. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 447 base hits and 259 earned runs. They have allowed 79 home runs this season and they allow 1.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 216 batters and struck out 339. They walk 4.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.58 and their FIP as a unit is 5.64.
As a team, Cincinnati is batting .225, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .220 average away from home. The Reds hold a .382 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .279 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.29 hits per game. Joey Votto comes into this game hitting .206 and his on-base percentage is at .335. He has 33 hits this season along with 21 runs scored and 25 runs batted in. He's struck out 52 times and has walked 28 times. Zack Cozart is hitting .297 and he has an on-base percentage of .312. He has totaled 44 hits so far while scoring 24 runs and he's driven in 16. He has walked 5 times and has struck out 19 times. The Reds have 350 hits, including 78 doubles and 49 home runs. They've stolen 25 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. Cincinnati has walked 109 times this season and they've struck out 393 times as a unit. They've left 240 men on base and have a team OPS of .661. They score 3.83 runs per contest and have scored a total of 184 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this matchup with a 13-12 home record and a 22-26 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.92, Jimmy Nelson has a 4-3 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 54 strikeouts over the 64.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 50 hits. He has allowed 7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.42. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.56 and they have given up 159 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 149 times and walking 78 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.22 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.42 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.52. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 439 base knocks and 215 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 67 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 184 hitters and struck out 353. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.88.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .264 average at home. The Brewers hold a .398 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.06 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this matchup batting .353 and he has an OBP of .426. He has 53 hits this year along with 23 runs scored and 30 RBI. He's struck out 24 times and has walked on 19 occasions. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .280 and he has an OBP of .343. He has collected 46 hits so far while he's scored 25 runs and drove in 20. He has earned a walk 15 times and has punched out 36 times. The Brewers as a unit have 387 base hits, including 82 doubles and 53 homers. They have 39 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 17 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 198 times this year and they have struck out 475 times. They've had 336 men left on base and have an OPS of .726. They score 4.25 runs per game and have totaled 204 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 27-18-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 22-26-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 25-20-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 24-24-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/09/16 P Jon Moscot Shoulder 15-day DL (5/3)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 15-day DL (4/2)
05/20/16 RF Domingo Santana Shoulder 15-day DL (5/19)
04/28/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Will Smith Knee 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Reds
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