Sunday, September 25, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Brandon Finnegan vs. Wily Peralta
The Cincinnati Reds head to Miller Park on Sunday to take on the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable pitchers are Brandon Finnegan for the Reds and Wily Peralta for the Brewers. The Reds have a 82-61-10 over/under mark and a 79-74-0 run line record, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Brewers are 83-71-0 against the run line and have a 71-74-9 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.
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The Reds head into this game with a 63-90 record, and they are 26-49 on the road. Starting pitcher Brandon Finnegan has a 9-11 record with an ERA of 4.10 and a WHIP of 1.38. He has 141 strikeouts during his 167 innings pitched and he has given up 147 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.28. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 5.05 and they have allowed 543 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the pen while they've been struck out 490 times and walked 283 times this year. As a unit, Cincinnati has given up 9.14 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.71 hitters per nine. They are 28th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.93. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 1,384 base hits and 747 earned runs. They have allowed 245 home runs this season and they allow 1.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 607 batters and struck out 1,167. They walk 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 5.26.
As a team, Cincinnati is hitting .253, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .248 average on the road. The Reds have a .406 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .314 which is good for 24th in the league. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.56 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this game hitting .319 and his on-base percentage is at .431. He has 166 hits this season along with 93 runs scored and 87 runs batted in. He's struck out 117 times and has walked 103 times. Brandon Phillips is hitting .290 and he has an on-base percentage of .321. He has totaled 155 hits so far while scoring 72 runs and he's driven in 59. He has walked 18 times and has struck out 65 times. The Reds have 1,308 hits, including 260 doubles and 155 home runs. They've stolen 125 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 46 times. Cincinnati has walked 427 times this season and they've struck out 1,214 times as a unit. They've left 947 men on base and have a team OPS of .719. They score 4.36 runs per contest and have scored a total of 667 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this game with a 41-38 home mark and a 70-84 overall record. With an ERA of 5.21, Wily Peralta has a 7-10 record and a 1.57 WHIP. He has 85 strikeouts over the 115.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 142 hits. He has allowed 11 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.91. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.64 and they have given up 493 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 463 times and walking 202 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.06 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.41 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.09. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,372 base knocks and 620 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 172 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 508 hitters and struck out 1,122. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.39.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .247 average at home. The Brewers hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.99 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .281 and he has an OBP of .367. He has 157 hits this year along with 86 runs scored and 56 RBI. He's struck out 166 times and has walked on 75 occasions. Ryan Braun is hitting .307 and he has an OBP of .369. He has collected 149 hits so far while he's scored 78 runs and drove in 90. He has earned a walk 46 times and has punched out 93 times. The Brewers as a unit have 1,231 base hits, including 234 doubles and 184 homers. They have 172 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 52 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 577 times this year and they have struck out 1,466 times. They've had 1,021 men left on base and have an OPS of .729. They score 4.16 runs per game and have totaled 640 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 82-61-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 79-74-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 71-74-9 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 83-71-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/24/16 CF Tyler Holt Wrist "?" Saturday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
09/19/16 SS Zack Cozart Knee out indefinitely
09/16/16 CF Billy Hamilton Oblique 15-day DL (9/5)
09/16/16 P Cody Reed Back 15-day DL (9/5)
09/14/16 P Alfredo Simon Shoulder 60-day DL (9/12)
09/09/16 P Homer Bailey Bicep out indefinitely
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
09/21/16 CF Kirk Nieuwenhuis Oblique out indefinitely
09/18/16 P Junior Guerra None out for season
09/16/16 CF Keon Broxton Wrist out for season
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers
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