Wednesday, April 27, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jon Moscot vs. Matt Harvey
The Cincinnati Reds visit Citi Field on Wednesday to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Jon Moscot for the Reds and Matt Harvey for the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +199 and New York at -215. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Reds have a 13-6-1 over/under record and a 8-12-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 40% of the time. The Mets are 9-9-0 against the run line and have a 10-8-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Reds head into this matchup with a 9-11 record, including 1-6 on the road. Starting pitcher Jon Moscot has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 5.06 and a WHIP of 1.31. He has 4 strikeouts over his 10.2 innings pitched and he has given up 9 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 7.67. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 6.25 and they have given up 75 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen while being struck out 62 times and walking 46 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.21 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.45 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.59. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 178 base hits and 108 earned runs. They have allowed 37 home runs this season and they allow 1.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 92 batters and struck out 144. They walk 4.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.55 and their FIP as a unit is 5.95.
As a team, Cincinnati is batting .241, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .247 average away from home. The Reds hold a .387 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 7.65 hits per game. Joey Votto comes into this game hitting .208 and his on-base percentage is at .293. He has 15 hits this season along with 6 runs scored and 10 runs batted in. He's struck out 18 times and has walked 8 times. Jay Bruce is hitting .265 and he has an on-base percentage of .320. He has totaled 18 hits so far while scoring 9 runs and he's driven in 15. He has walked 5 times and has struck out 16 times. The Reds have 153 hits, including 36 doubles and 17 home runs. They've stolen 17 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 4 times. Cincinnati has walked 49 times this season and they've struck out 145 times as a unit. They've left 101 men on base and have a team OPS of .684. They score 4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 80 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 3-4 home record and a 11-7 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.24, Matt Harvey has a 1-3 record and a 1.57 WHIP. He has 14 strikeouts over the 22.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 27 hits. He has allowed 10.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.62. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.86 and they have given up 56 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 69 times and walking 18 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 9.02 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.69 batters per nine. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 2.95. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 162 base knocks and 53 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 6 home runs this year and they give up 0.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 39 hitters and struck out 174. They give up a walk 2.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 2.19.
As a team, they are batting .254, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .210 average at home. The Mets hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.78 hits per contest. Neil Walker comes into this matchup batting .301 and he has an OBP of .320. He has 22 hits this year along with 11 runs scored and 14 RBI. He's struck out 17 times and has walked on 2 occasions. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .318 and he has an OBP of .375. He has collected 21 hits so far while he's scored 6 runs and drove in 5. He has earned a walk 5 times and has punched out 12 times. The Mets as a unit have 158 base hits, including 34 doubles and 28 homers. They have 4 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 2 times. New York as a team has walked 58 times this year and they have struck out 166 times. They've had 134 men left on base and have an OPS of .775. They score 4.39 runs per game and have totaled 79 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 13-6-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 8-12-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 10-8-0 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 9-9-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/26/16 2B Brandon Phillips Finger is not expected to be in the starting lineup Tuesday vs. New York Mets
04/25/16 RF Jay Bruce Personal paternity list
04/19/16 P Alfredo Simon Bicep "?" for next scheduled start
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 15-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 15-day DL (3/31)
04/03/16 P John Lamb Back 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
New York Mets
04/26/16 C Travis d'Arnaud Shoulder left last game, doubtful Tuesday vs. Cincinnati Reds
04/26/16 CF Yoenis Cespedes Knee out indefinitely
04/04/16 P Joshua Edgin Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Mets
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