Sunday, August 7, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Dan Straily vs. Gerrit Cole
The Cincinnati Reds head to PNC Park on Sunday to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates. The probable pitchers are Dan Straily for the Reds and Gerrit Cole for the Pirates. The opening line for this game has Cincinnati at +180 and Pittsburgh at -190. The over/under is 8. The Reds have a 56-42-10 over/under mark and a 56-52-0 run line record, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Pirates are 50-57-0 against the run line and have a 61-45-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
The Reds head into this game with a 44-64 record, and they are 18-35 on the road. Starting pitcher Dan Straily has a 6-6 record with an ERA of 3.80 and a WHIP of 1.14. He has 101 strikeouts during his 128 innings pitched and he has given up 95 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 6.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.53. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 5.17 and they have allowed 383 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the pen while they've been struck out 354 times and walked 201 times this year. As a unit, Cincinnati has given up 9.15 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.53 hitters per nine. They are 30th in the Majors in team earned run average at 5.09. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 983 base hits and 547 earned runs. They have allowed 177 home runs this season and they allow 1.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 440 batters and struck out 809. They walk 4.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 5.36.
As a team, Cincinnati is hitting .244, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .241 average on the road. The Reds have a .402 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .305 which is good for 28th in the league. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.21 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this game hitting .290 and his on-base percentage is at .421. He has 104 hits this season along with 66 runs scored and 54 runs batted in. He's struck out 100 times and has walked 79 times. Zack Cozart is hitting .266 and he has an on-base percentage of .316. He has totaled 99 hits so far while scoring 56 runs and he's driven in 41. He has walked 27 times and has struck out 63 times. The Reds have 887 hits, including 178 doubles and 120 home runs. They've stolen 90 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 34 times. Cincinnati has walked 296 times this season and they've struck out 895 times as a unit. They've left 635 men on base and have a team OPS of .707. They score 4.32 runs per contest and have scored a total of 467 runs so far this year.
Pittsburgh comes into this game with a 30-23 home mark and a 54-53 overall record. With an ERA of 2.73, Gerrit Cole has a 7-6 record and a 1.28 WHIP. He has 77 strikeouts over the 92.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 93 hits. He has allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.86. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.55 and they have given up 359 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Pirates bullpen while being struck out 327 times and walking 150 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 9.18 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.46 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 981 base knocks and 453 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 117 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 368 hitters and struck out 798. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.40 while their FIP as a staff is 4.33.
As a team, they are batting .257, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .274 average at home. The Pirates hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.84 hits per contest. Gregory Polanco comes into this matchup batting .283 and he has an OBP of .358. He has 98 hits this year along with 58 runs scored and 56 RBI. He's struck out 78 times and has walked on 43 occasions. Starling Marte is hitting .319 and he has an OBP of .377. He has collected 120 hits so far while he's scored 58 runs and drove in 37. He has earned a walk 19 times and has punched out 84 times. The Pirates as a unit have 946 base hits, including 192 doubles and 100 homers. They have 82 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 31 times. Pittsburgh as a team has walked 342 times this year and they have struck out 890 times. They've had 760 men left on base and have an OPS of .733. They score 4.53 runs per game and have totaled 485 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 56-42-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 56-52-0 against the run line so far this season
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 61-45-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 50-57-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/04/16 P A.J. Morris Shoulder 15-day DL (6/16)
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/22)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
08/05/16 RF Gregory Polanco Shoulder "?" Saturday vs. Cincinnati Reds
07/24/16 P Tyler Glasnow Shoulder 15-day DL (7/24)
07/04/16 C Chris Stewart Knee 15-day DL (7/2)
Tony's Pick: Take the Pirates
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