Friday, July 29, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Brandon Finnegan vs. Edwin Jackson
The Cincinnati Reds visit Petco Park on Friday to play the San Diego Padres. The probable starters are Brandon Finnegan for the Reds and Edwin Jackson for the Padres. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +159 and San Diego at -169. The over/under was set at 9. The Reds have a 55-37-9 over/under record and a 51-50-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Padres are 61-41-0 against the run line and have a 53-47-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 60% of the time.
The Reds head into this matchup with a 40-61 record, including 16-33 on the road. Starting pitcher Brandon Finnegan has a 5-8 record with an earned run average of 4.93 and a WHIP of 1.44. He has 81 strikeouts over his 111.1 innings pitched and he has given up 104 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.87. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.35 and they have given up 365 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the bullpen while being struck out 323 times and walking 195 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.31 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.42 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.27. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 936 base hits and 530 earned runs. They have allowed 170 home runs this season and they allow 1.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 421 batters and struck out 746. They walk 4.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.50 and their FIP as a unit is 5.49.
As a team, Cincinnati is batting .242, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .242 average away from home. The Reds hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.16 hits per game. Brandon Phillips comes into this game hitting .263 and his on-base percentage is at .301. He has 94 hits this season along with 42 runs scored and 36 runs batted in. He's struck out 49 times and has walked 14 times. Jay Bruce is hitting .271 and he has an on-base percentage of .323. He has totaled 98 hits so far while scoring 59 runs and he's driven in 79. He has walked 27 times and has struck out 82 times. The Reds have 823 hits, including 165 doubles and 116 home runs. They've stolen 81 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 34 times. Cincinnati has walked 274 times this season and they've struck out 848 times as a unit. They've left 585 men on base and have a team OPS of .706. They score 4.33 runs per contest and have scored a total of 437 runs so far this year.
San Diego comes into this matchup with a 23-25 home record and a 44-58 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.30, Edwin Jackson has a 1-1 record and a 1.48 WHIP. He has 12 strikeouts over the 23 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 20 hits. He has allowed 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.62. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.47 and they have given up 340 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the Padres bullpen while being struck out 348 times and walking 150 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.92 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.15 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.57. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 903 base knocks and 462 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 120 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a staff has walked 373 hitters and struck out 825. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.40 while their FIP as a staff is 4.40.
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .242 average at home. The Padres hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.23 hits per contest. Matt Kemp comes into this matchup batting .259 and he has an OBP of .281. He has 105 hits this year along with 54 runs scored and 69 RBI. He's struck out 99 times and has walked on 15 occasions. Wil Myers is hitting .271 and he has an OBP of .344. He has collected 104 hits so far while he's scored 66 runs and drove in 63. He has earned a walk 44 times and has punched out 94 times. The Padres as a unit have 839 base hits, including 175 doubles and 123 homers. They have 82 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 24 times. San Diego as a team has walked 279 times this year and they have struck out 939 times. They've had 623 men left on base and have an OPS of .708. They score 4.44 runs per game and have totaled 453 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 55-37-9 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 51-50-0 against the run line so far this season
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 53-47-2 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 61-41-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/16)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
San Diego Padres
07/27/16 3B Yangervis Solarte Personal "?" Friday vs Cincinnati Reds
06/28/16 CF Jon Jay Forearm 15-day DL (6/20)
06/28/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 60-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Reds
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