Monday, July 25, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Anthony DeSclafani vs. Jake Peavy
The Cincinnati Reds visit AT&T Park on Monday to play the San Francisco Giants. The probable starters are Anthony DeSclafani for the Reds and Jake Peavy for the Giants. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +128 and San Francisco at -138. The over/under was set at 8. The Reds have a 52-36-9 over/under record and a 48-49-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Giants are 47-50-0 against the run line and have a 48-47-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
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The Reds head into this matchup with a 38-59 record, including 14-32 on the road. Starting pitcher Anthony DeSclafani has a 5-0 record with an earned run average of 2.50 and a WHIP of 1.21. He has 40 strikeouts over his 50.1 innings pitched and he has given up 52 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.56. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.38 and they have given up 353 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the bullpen while being struck out 313 times and walking 189 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.44 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.24. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 899 base hits and 507 earned runs. They have allowed 162 home runs this season and they allow 1.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 408 batters and struck out 719. They walk 4.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.50 and their FIP as a unit is 5.48.
As a team, Cincinnati is batting .242, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .241 average away from home. The Reds hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.11 hits per game. Brandon Phillips comes into this game hitting .260 and his on-base percentage is at .299. He has 89 hits this season along with 40 runs scored and 36 runs batted in. He's struck out 47 times and has walked 13 times. Jay Bruce is hitting .267 and he has an on-base percentage of .320. He has totaled 92 hits so far while scoring 52 runs and he's driven in 69. He has walked 26 times and has struck out 77 times. The Reds have 786 hits, including 162 doubles and 107 home runs. They've stolen 77 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 34 times. Cincinnati has walked 263 times this season and they've struck out 812 times as a unit. They've left 561 men on base and have a team OPS of .702. They score 4.26 runs per contest and have scored a total of 413 runs so far this year.
San Francisco comes into this matchup with a 29-17 home record and a 58-39 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.15, Jake Peavy has a 5-8 record and a 1.41 WHIP. He has 78 strikeouts over the 99.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 110 hits. He has allowed 9.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.11. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.93 and they have given up 262 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Giants bullpen while being struck out 227 times and walking 97 times this season. As a team, San Francisco has allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.77 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.66. The Giants pitchers as a team have surrendered 816 base knocks and 354 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 95 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Francisco as a staff has walked 251 hitters and struck out 755. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 3.79.
As a team, they are batting .261, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .265 average at home. The Giants hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333 which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.95 hits per contest. Buster Posey comes into this matchup batting .284 and he has an OBP of .358. He has 90 hits this year along with 54 runs scored and 44 RBI. He's struck out 42 times and has walked on 37 occasions. Brandon Belt is hitting .281 and he has an OBP of .384. He has collected 94 hits so far while he's scored 46 runs and drove in 47. He has earned a walk 56 times and has punched out 82 times. The Giants as a unit have 868 base hits, including 168 doubles and 83 homers. They have 50 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 21 times. San Francisco as a team has walked 345 times this year and they have struck out 654 times. They've had 701 men left on base and have an OPS of .736. They score 4.59 runs per game and have totaled 445 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 52-36-9 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 48-49-0 against the run line so far this season
San Francisco Giants Betting Trends
The San Francisco Giants are 48-47-2 against the over/under so far this season
The San Francisco Giants are 47-50-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/16)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
San Francisco Giants
07/07/16 P Cory Gearrin Shoulder 15-day DL (7/6)
06/30/16 P Christopher Heston Oblique 60-day DL (6/29)
06/29/16 2B Joe Panik Concussion 7-day DL (6/29)
06/21/16 3B Matt Duffy Achilles 15-day DL (6/19)
06/11/16 2B Kelby Tomlinson Thumb 15-day DL (6/9)
06/01/16 RF Hunter Pence Hamstring 15-day DL (6/2)
04/22/16 SS Ehire Adrianza Foot 60-day DL (4/15)
Josh's Pick: Take the Reds
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