Tuesday, July 26, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Cody Reed vs. Matt Cain
The Cincinnati Reds visit AT&T Park on Tuesday to play the San Francisco Giants. The probable starters are Cody Reed for the Reds and Matt Cain for the Giants. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +135 and San Francisco at -145. The over/under was set at 8. The Reds have a 53-36-9 over/under record and a 49-49-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Giants are 47-51-0 against the run line and have a 48-48-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
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The Reds head into this matchup with a 38-60 record, including 14-32 on the road. Starting pitcher Cody Reed has a 0-4 record with an earned run average of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.73. He has 34 strikeouts over his 30.2 innings pitched and he has given up 41 hits so far this season. He has allowed 12 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.11. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.39 and they have given up 359 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the bullpen while being struck out 315 times and walking 190 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.34 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.41 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.28. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 912 base hits and 516 earned runs. They have allowed 166 home runs this season and they allow 1.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 411 batters and struck out 724. They walk 4.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.51 and their FIP as a unit is 5.51.
As a team, Cincinnati is batting .242, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .241 average away from home. The Reds hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.14 hits per game. Brandon Phillips comes into this game hitting .263 and his on-base percentage is at .303. He has 91 hits this season along with 41 runs scored and 36 runs batted in. He's struck out 47 times and has walked 14 times. Jay Bruce is hitting .269 and he has an on-base percentage of .324. He has totaled 94 hits so far while scoring 55 runs and he's driven in 73. He has walked 27 times and has struck out 78 times. The Reds have 797 hits, including 162 doubles and 108 home runs. They've stolen 79 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 34 times. Cincinnati has walked 269 times this season and they've struck out 820 times as a unit. They've left 570 men on base and have a team OPS of .703. They score 4.3 runs per contest and have scored a total of 421 runs so far this year.
San Francisco comes into this matchup with a 29-17 home record and a 58-40 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.88, Matt Cain has a 1-6 record and a 1.58 WHIP. He has 42 strikeouts over the 59.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 75 hits. He has allowed 11.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.18. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.90 and they have given up 262 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Giants bullpen while being struck out 229 times and walking 97 times this season. As a team, San Francisco has allowed 8.41 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.76 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.67. The Giants pitchers as a team have surrendered 824 base knocks and 359 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 97 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Francisco as a staff has walked 252 hitters and struck out 760. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 3.80.
As a team, they are batting .261, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .265 average at home. The Giants hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333 which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.96 hits per contest. Buster Posey comes into this matchup batting .287 and he has an OBP of .360. He has 92 hits this year along with 54 runs scored and 46 RBI. He's struck out 42 times and has walked on 37 occasions. Brandon Belt is hitting .278 and he has an OBP of .384. He has collected 94 hits so far while he's scored 46 runs and drove in 47. He has earned a walk 58 times and has punched out 84 times. The Giants as a unit have 878 base hits, including 169 doubles and 83 homers. They have 50 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 21 times. San Francisco as a team has walked 348 times this year and they have struck out 661 times. They've had 711 men left on base and have an OPS of .736. They score 4.56 runs per game and have totaled 447 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 53-36-9 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 49-49-0 against the run line so far this season
San Francisco Giants Betting Trends
The San Francisco Giants are 48-48-2 against the over/under so far this season
The San Francisco Giants are 47-51-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/16)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
San Francisco Giants
07/07/16 P Cory Gearrin Shoulder 15-day DL (7/6)
06/30/16 P Christopher Heston Oblique 60-day DL (6/29)
06/29/16 2B Joe Panik Concussion 7-day DL (6/29)
06/21/16 3B Matt Duffy Achilles 15-day DL (6/19)
06/11/16 2B Kelby Tomlinson Thumb 15-day DL (6/9)
06/01/16 RF Hunter Pence Hamstring 15-day DL (6/2)
04/22/16 SS Ehire Adrianza Foot 60-day DL (4/15)
Josh's Pick: Take the Reds
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