Saturday, April 16, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Brandon Finnegan vs. Adam Wainwright
The Cincinnati Reds visit Busch Stadium on Saturday to play the St. Louis Cardinals. The probable starters are Brandon Finnegan for the Reds and Adam Wainwright for the Cardinals. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +169 and St. Louis at -179. The over/under was set at 7. The Reds have a 6-3-0 over/under record and a 5-4-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 56% of the time. The Cardinals are 5-4-0 against the run line and have a 6-3-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 56% of the time.
The Reds head into this matchup with a 5-3 record, including 0-2 on the road. Starting pitcher Brandon Finnegan has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 2.84 and a WHIP of 0.79. He has 14 strikeouts over his 12.2 innings pitched and he has given up 4 hits so far this season. He has allowed 2.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.45. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.50 and they have given up 25 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .205 against the bullpen while being struck out 27 times and walking 23 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 7.96 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.96 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.27. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 69 base hits and 37 earned runs. They have allowed 10 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 44 batters and struck out 69. They walk 5.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 5.11.
As a team, Cincinnati is batting .250, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .211 average away from home. The Reds hold a .396 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 7.78 hits per game. Joey Votto comes into this game hitting .242 and his on-base percentage is at .342. He has 8 hits this season along with 3 runs scored and 3 runs batted in. He's struck out 8 times and has walked 5 times. Jay Bruce is hitting .333 and he has an on-base percentage of .361. He has totaled 11 hits so far while scoring 4 runs and he's driven in 10. He has walked 1 time and has struck out 7 times. The Reds have 70 hits, including 13 doubles and 8 home runs. They've stolen 6 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 1 time. Cincinnati has walked 30 times this season and they've struck out 60 times as a unit. They've left 51 men on base and have a team OPS of .720. They score 4.11 runs per contest and have scored a total of 37 runs so far this year.
St. Louis comes into this matchup with a 2-1 home record and a 5-4 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.55, Adam Wainwright has a 0-1 record and a 1.82 WHIP. He has 5 strikeouts over the 11 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 12 hits. He has allowed 9.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.94. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.28 and they have given up 15 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .153 against the Cardinals bullpen while being struck out 38 times and walking 17 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 7.39 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.41 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 3.70. The Cardinals pitchers as a team have surrendered 66 base knocks and 33 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 3 home runs this year and they give up 0.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a staff has walked 38 hitters and struck out 84. They give up a walk 4.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 3.14.
As a team, they are batting .277, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .350 average at home. The Cardinals hold a .481 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .361 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.78 hits per contest. Matt Carpenter comes into this matchup batting .265 and he has an OBP of .405. He has 9 hits this year along with 6 runs scored and 9 RBI. He's struck out 9 times and has walked on 5 occasions. Kolten Wong is hitting .200 and he has an OBP of .257. He has collected 6 hits so far while he's scored 4 runs and drove in 2. He has earned a walk 2 times and has punched out 7 times. The Cardinals as a unit have 88 base hits, including 24 doubles and 11 homers. They have 4 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 2 times. St. Louis as a team has walked 37 times this year and they have struck out 86 times. They've had 71 men left on base and have an OPS of .843. They score 6.56 runs per game and have totaled 59 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 6-3-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 5-4-0 against the run line so far this season
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 6-3-0 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 5-4-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/14/16 SS Zack Cozart Quad "?" Friday vs. St. Louis Cardinals
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 15-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 15-day DL (3/31)
04/03/16 P John Lamb Back 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Jon Moscot Back 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
St. Louis Cardinals
04/04/16 C Brayan Pena Knee 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 SS Jhonny Peralta Thumb 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 15-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
04/04/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 2B Ruben Tejada Quad 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 CF Thomas Pham Oblique 15-day DL (4/4)
Guy's Pick: Take the Reds
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