Sunday, April 17, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jon Moscot vs. Michael Wacha
The Cincinnati Reds visit Busch Stadium on Sunday to play the St. Louis Cardinals. The probable starters are Jon Moscot for the Reds and Michael Wacha for the Cardinals. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +172 and St. Louis at -182. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Reds have a 7-3-0 over/under record and a 5-5-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Cardinals are 6-4-0 against the run line and have a 7-3-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 60% of the time.
The Reds head into this matchup with a 5-5 record, including 0-4 on the road. Starting pitcher Jon Moscot will be making his season debut for Cincinnati. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.31 and they have given up 32 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the bullpen while being struck out 30 times and walking 24 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 8.58 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.74 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.13. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 82 base hits and 49 earned runs. They have allowed 16 home runs this season and they allow 1.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 48 batters and struck out 74. They walk 5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.51 and their FIP as a unit is 5.84.
As a team, Cincinnati is batting .245, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .209 average away from home. The Reds hold a .389 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 7.7 hits per game. Joey Votto comes into this game hitting .243 and his on-base percentage is at .333. He has 9 hits this season along with 4 runs scored and 6 runs batted in. He's struck out 8 times and has walked 5 times. Jay Bruce is hitting .297 and he has an on-base percentage of .325. He has totaled 11 hits so far while scoring 4 runs and he's driven in 10. He has walked 1 times and has struck out 8 times. The Reds have 77 hits, including 14 doubles and 9 home runs. They've stolen 6 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 1 time. Cincinnati has walked 31 times this season and they've struck out 67 times as a unit. They've left 56 men on base and have a team OPS of .703. They score 4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 40 runs so far this year.
St. Louis comes into this matchup with a 3-1 home record and a 6-4 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.48, Michael Wacha has a 1-0 record and a 1.55 WHIP. He has 10 strikeouts over the 10.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 14 hits. He has allowed 12.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 1.8. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.12 and they have given up 16 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .152 against the Cardinals bullpen while being struck out 39 times and walking 17 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 7.35 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.17 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.63. The Cardinals pitchers as a team have surrendered 73 base knocks and 36 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 4 home runs this year and they give up 0.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a staff has walked 39 hitters and struck out 91. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 3.11.
As a team, they are batting .283, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .345 average at home. The Cardinals hold a .521 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .367 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 10.1 hits per contest. Matt Carpenter comes into this matchup batting .243 and he has an OBP of .404. He has 9 hits this year along with 7 runs scored and 9 RBI. He's struck out 10 times and has walked on 7 occasions. Kolten Wong is hitting .200 and he has an OBP of .250. He has collected 7 hits so far while he's scored 6 runs and drove in 2. He has earned a walk 2 times and has punched out 7 times. The Cardinals as a unit have 101 base hits, including 26 doubles and 17 homers. They have 4 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 2 times. St. Louis as a team has walked 41 times this year and they have struck out 91 times. They've had 77 men left on base and have an OPS of .888. They score 7.3 runs per game and have totaled 73 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 7-3-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 5-5-0 against the run line so far this season
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 7-3-0 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 6-4-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 15-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 15-day DL (3/31)
04/03/16 P John Lamb Back 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Jon Moscot Back 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
St. Louis Cardinals
04/04/16 C Brayan Pena Knee 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 SS Jhonny Peralta Thumb 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 15-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
04/04/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 2B Ruben Tejada Quad 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 CF Thomas Pham Oblique 15-day DL (4/4)
Tony's Pick: Take the Cardinals
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