Monday, August 8, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Cody Reed vs. Michael Wacha
The Cincinnati Reds visit Busch Stadium on Monday to play the St. Louis Cardinals. The probable starters are Cody Reed for the Reds and Michael Wacha for the Cardinals. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +185 and St. Louis at -200. The over/under was set at 9. The Reds have a 56-43-10 over/under record and a 56-53-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Cardinals are 53-57-0 against the run line and have a 58-46-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
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The Reds head into this matchup with a 44-65 record, including 18-36 on the road. Starting pitcher Cody Reed has a 0-6 record with an earned run average of 7.30 and a WHIP of 1.80. He has 38 strikeouts over his 40.2 innings pitched and he has given up 58 hits so far this season. He has allowed 12.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.11. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.10 and they have given up 384 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the bullpen while being struck out 360 times and walking 202 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.16 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.56 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.10. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 992 base hits and 552 earned runs. They have allowed 177 home runs this season and they allow 1.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 442 batters and struck out 819. They walk 4.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 5.34.
As a team, Cincinnati is batting .244, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .240 average away from home. The Reds hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .305 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.21 hits per game. Joey Votto comes into this game hitting .289 and his on-base percentage is at .419. He has 105 hits this season along with 66 runs scored and 54 runs batted in. He's struck out 100 times and has walked 79 times. Zack Cozart is hitting .266 and he has an on-base percentage of .315. He has totaled 100 hits so far while scoring 56 runs and he's driven in 41. He has walked 27 times and has struck out 64 times. The Reds have 894 hits, including 180 doubles and 122 home runs. They've stolen 90 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 34 times. Cincinnati has walked 297 times this season and they've struck out 901 times as a unit. They've left 637 men on base and have a team OPS of .707. They score 4.31 runs per contest and have scored a total of 470 runs so far this year.
St. Louis comes into this matchup with a 26-31 home record and a 58-52 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.35, Michael Wacha has a 7-7 record and a 1.40 WHIP. He has 106 strikeouts over the 126.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 137 hits. He has allowed 9.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.66. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.46 and they have given up 269 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .218 against the Cardinals bullpen while being struck out 317 times and walking 121 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.64 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.73 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.98. The Cardinals pitchers as a team have surrendered 947 base knocks and 436 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 101 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a staff has walked 304 hitters and struck out 847. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 3.79.
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .250 average at home. The Cardinals hold a .442 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.8 hits per contest. Aledmys Diaz comes into this matchup batting .312 and he has an OBP of .376. He has 110 hits this year along with 64 runs scored and 57 RBI. He's struck out 54 times and has walked on 34 occasions. Matt Carpenter is hitting .292 and he has an OBP of .414. He has collected 85 hits so far while he's scored 56 runs and drove in 53. He has earned a walk 59 times and has punched out 62 times. The Cardinals as a unit have 969 base hits, including 209 doubles and 149 homers. They have 26 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 19 times. St. Louis as a team has walked 374 times this year and they have struck out 863 times. They've had 773 men left on base and have an OPS of .770. They score 4.99 runs per game and have totaled 549 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 56-43-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 56-53-0 against the run line so far this season
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 58-46-6 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 53-57-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/04/16 P A.J. Morris Shoulder 15-day DL (6/16)
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/22)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
St. Louis Cardinals
08/07/16 3B Matt Carpenter Oblique "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta Braves
08/07/16 C Yadier Molina Hand "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta Braves
08/03/16 P Tyler Lyons Knee 15-day DL (7/31)
08/02/16 SS Aledmys Diaz Thumb 15-day DL (8/1)
07/27/16 P Trevor Rosenthal Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (7/26)
07/07/16 C Brayan Pena Knee 15-day DL (7/7)
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 60-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Josh's Pick: Take the Reds
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