Tuesday, August 9, 2016
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Brandon Finnegan vs. Mike Leake
The Cincinnati Reds head to Busch Stadium on Tuesday to take on the St. Louis Cardinals. The probable pitchers are Brandon Finnegan for the Reds and Mike Leake for the Cardinals. The opening line for this game has Cincinnati at +162 and St. Louis at -172. The over/under is 8.5. The Reds have a 57-43-10 over/under mark and a 57-53-0 run line record, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Cardinals are 53-58-0 against the run line and have a 59-46-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
The Reds head into this game with a 45-65 record, and they are 19-36 on the road. Starting pitcher Brandon Finnegan has a 7-8 record with an ERA of 4.45 and a WHIP of 1.37. He has 90 strikeouts during his 123.1 innings pitched and he has given up 110 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.52. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 5.09 and they have allowed 387 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the pen while they've been struck out 363 times and walked 207 times this year. As a unit, Cincinnati has given up 9.13 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.55 hitters per nine. They are 29th in the Majors in team earned run average at 5.08. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 998 base hits and 555 earned runs. They have allowed 179 home runs this season and they allow 1.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 447 batters and struck out 826. They walk 4.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 5.34.
As a team, Cincinnati is hitting .244, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .240 average on the road. The Reds have a .402 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .305 which is good for 28th in the league. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.21 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this game hitting .289 and his on-base percentage is at .422. He has 105 hits this season along with 67 runs scored and 55 runs batted in. He's struck out 100 times and has walked 82 times. Zack Cozart is hitting .263 and he has an on-base percentage of .312. He has totaled 100 hits so far while scoring 56 runs and he's driven in 42. He has walked 27 times and has struck out 65 times. The Reds have 902 hits, including 181 doubles and 122 home runs. They've stolen 95 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 35 times. Cincinnati has walked 301 times this season and they've struck out 909 times as a unit. They've left 640 men on base and have a team OPS of .706. They score 4.34 runs per contest and have scored a total of 477 runs so far this year.
St. Louis comes into this game with a 26-32 home mark and a 58-53 overall record. With an ERA of 4.80, Mike Leake has a 8-9 record and a 1.26 WHIP. He has 96 strikeouts over the 133 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 150 hits. He has allowed 10.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.97. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.43 and they have given up 271 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .218 against the Cardinals bullpen while being struck out 319 times and walking 121 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.66 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.00. The Cardinals pitchers as a team have surrendered 958 base knocks and 442 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 101 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a staff has walked 307 hitters and struck out 852. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 3.78.
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .251 average at home. The Cardinals hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.8 hits per contest. Aledmys Diaz comes into this matchup batting .312 and he has an OBP of .376. He has 110 hits this year along with 64 runs scored and 57 RBI. He's struck out 54 times and has walked on 34 occasions. Matt Carpenter is hitting .292 and he has an OBP of .414. He has collected 85 hits so far while he's scored 56 runs and drove in 53. He has earned a walk 59 times and has punched out 62 times. The Cardinals as a unit have 978 base hits, including 213 doubles and 149 homers. They have 26 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 19 times. St. Louis as a team has walked 377 times this year and they have struck out 871 times. They've had 782 men left on base and have an OPS of .769. They score 4.97 runs per game and have totaled 552 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 57-43-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 57-53-0 against the run line so far this season
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 59-46-6 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 53-58-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/04/16 P A.J. Morris Shoulder 15-day DL (6/16)
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/22)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
St. Louis Cardinals
08/07/16 3B Matt Carpenter Oblique "?" Monday vs. Cincinnati Reds
08/03/16 P Tyler Lyons Knee 15-day DL (7/31)
08/02/16 SS Aledmys Diaz Thumb 15-day DL (8/1)
07/27/16 P Trevor Rosenthal Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (7/26)
07/07/16 C Brayan Pena Knee 15-day DL (7/7)
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 60-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Cardinals
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's Free MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Expert MLB Picks