Monday, September 26, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Tim Adleman vs. Jaime Garcia
The Cincinnati Reds visit Busch Stadium on Monday to play the St. Louis Cardinals. The probable starters are Tim Adleman for the Reds and Jaime Garcia for the Cardinals. The Reds have a 82-62-10 over/under record and a 80-74-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Cardinals are 72-82-0 against the run line and have a 80-68-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
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The Reds head into this matchup with a 64-90 record, including 27-49 on the road. Starting pitcher Tim Adleman has a 2-4 record with an earned run average of 4.06 and a WHIP of 1.25. He has 39 strikeouts over his 57.2 innings pitched and he has given up 54 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.91. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.03 and they have given up 544 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen while being struck out 493 times and walking 283 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.12 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.71 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.91. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 1,390 base hits and 748 earned runs. They have allowed 246 home runs this season and they allow 1.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 609 batters and struck out 1,175. They walk 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 5.25.
As a team, Cincinnati is batting .254, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .248 average away from home. The Reds hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.56 hits per game. Joey Votto comes into this game hitting .320 and his on-base percentage is at .434. He has 167 hits this season along with 94 runs scored and 89 runs batted in. He's struck out 117 times and has walked 106 times. Brandon Phillips is hitting .288 and he has an on-base percentage of .318. He has totaled 155 hits so far while scoring 72 runs and he's driven in 60. He has walked 18 times and has struck out 66 times. The Reds have 1,318 hits, including 262 doubles and 156 home runs. They've stolen 127 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 47 times. Cincinnati has walked 434 times this season and they've struck out 1,220 times as a unit. They've left 956 men on base and have a team OPS of .720. They score 4.37 runs per contest and have scored a total of 673 runs so far this year.
St. Louis comes into this matchup with a 33-41 home record and a 81-73 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.59, Jaime Garcia has a 10-12 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 150 strikeouts over the 170.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 175 hits. He has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.33. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.54 and they have given up 403 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the Cardinals bullpen while being struck out 470 times and walking 185 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.92 batters per nine. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.06. The Cardinals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,347 base knocks and 621 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 150 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a staff has walked 457 hitters and struck out 1,212. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 3.89.
As a team, they are batting .254, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .250 average at home. The Cardinals hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.73 hits per contest. Stephen Piscotty comes into this matchup batting .273 and he has an OBP of .343. He has 151 hits this year along with 82 runs scored and 83 RBI. He's struck out 128 times and has walked on 49 occasions. Aledmys Diaz is hitting .301 and he has an OBP of .370. He has collected 115 hits so far while he's scored 66 runs and drove in 61. He has earned a walk 38 times and has punched out 59 times. The Cardinals as a unit have 1,345 base hits, including 286 doubles and 213 homers. They have 35 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 25 times. St. Louis as a team has walked 501 times this year and they have struck out 1,260 times. They've had 1,061 men left on base and have an OPS of .766. They score 4.79 runs per game and have totaled 738 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 82-62-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 80-74-0 against the run line so far this season
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 80-68-6 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 72-82-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/19/16 SS Zack Cozart Knee out indefinitely
09/16/16 CF Billy Hamilton Oblique 15-day DL (9/5)
09/16/16 P Cody Reed Back 15-day DL (9/5)
09/14/16 P Alfredo Simon Shoulder 60-day DL (9/12)
09/09/16 P Homer Bailey Bicep out indefinitely
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
St. Louis Cardinals
09/05/16 P Seth Maness Elbow 60-day DL (8/14)
08/12/16 LF Matt Holliday Thumb 15-day DL (8/12)
08/03/16 P Tyler Lyons Knee 60-day DL (7/31), out for season
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 60-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Josh's Pick: Take the Reds
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