Tuesday, September 27, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Robert Stephenson vs. Adam Wainwright
The Cincinnati Reds head to Busch Stadium on Tuesday to take on the St. Louis Cardinals. The probable pitchers are Robert Stephenson for the Reds and Adam Wainwright for the Cardinals. The opening line for this game has Cincinnati at +199 and St. Louis at -215. The over/under is 8.5. The Reds have a 82-63-10 over/under mark and a 81-74-0 run line record, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Cardinals are 72-83-0 against the run line and have a 80-69-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
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The Reds head into this game with a 65-90 record, and they are 28-49 on the road. Starting pitcher Robert Stephenson has a 2-2 record with an ERA of 5.59 and a WHIP of 1.55. He has 23 strikeouts during his 29 innings pitched and he has given up 32 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.45. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 5.01 and they have allowed 548 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the pen while they've been struck out 502 times and walked 283 times this year. As a unit, Cincinnati has given up 9.11 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.75 hitters per nine. They are 27th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.88. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 1,397 base hits and 749 earned runs. They have allowed 246 home runs this season and they allow 1.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 609 batters and struck out 1,188. They walk 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 5.22.
As a team, Cincinnati is hitting .254, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .249 average on the road. The Reds have a .406 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .315 which is good for 23rd in the league. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.56 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this game hitting .320 and his on-base percentage is at .434. He has 168 hits this season along with 95 runs scored and 89 runs batted in. He's struck out 118 times and has walked 107 times. Brandon Phillips is hitting .288 and he has an on-base percentage of .318. He has totaled 156 hits so far while scoring 72 runs and he's driven in 61. He has walked 18 times and has struck out 66 times. The Reds have 1,326 hits, including 265 doubles and 156 home runs. They've stolen 128 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 49 times. Cincinnati has walked 437 times this season and they've struck out 1,227 times as a unit. They've left 960 men on base and have a team OPS of .720. They score 4.37 runs per contest and have scored a total of 677 runs so far this year.
St. Louis comes into this game with a 33-41 home mark and a 81-74 overall record. With an ERA of 4.57, Adam Wainwright has a 12-9 record and a 1.38 WHIP. He has 147 strikeouts over the 187 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 204 hits. He has allowed 9.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.9. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.54 and they have given up 405 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the Cardinals bullpen while being struck out 474 times and walking 186 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.94 batters per nine. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.05. The Cardinals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,355 base knocks and 624 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 151 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a staff has walked 462 hitters and struck out 1,222. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 3.90.
As a team, they are batting .254, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .250 average at home. The Cardinals hold a .439 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.7 hits per contest. Stephen Piscotty comes into this matchup batting .271 and he has an OBP of .341. He has 151 hits this year along with 82 runs scored and 83 RBI. He's struck out 129 times and has walked on 49 occasions. Aledmys Diaz is hitting .301 and he has an OBP of .370. He has collected 115 hits so far while he's scored 66 runs and drove in 61. He has earned a walk 38 times and has punched out 59 times. The Cardinals as a unit have 1,350 base hits, including 287 doubles and 213 homers. They have 35 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 25 times. St. Louis as a team has walked 504 times this year and they have struck out 1,271 times. They've had 1,068 men left on base and have an OPS of .764. They score 4.77 runs per game and have totaled 739 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 82-63-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 81-74-0 against the run line so far this season
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 80-69-6 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 72-83-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/19/16 SS Zack Cozart Knee out indefinitely
09/16/16 CF Billy Hamilton Oblique 15-day DL (9/5)
09/16/16 P Cody Reed Back 15-day DL (9/5)
09/14/16 P Alfredo Simon Shoulder 60-day DL (9/12)
09/09/16 P Homer Bailey Bicep out indefinitely
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
St. Louis Cardinals
09/05/16 P Seth Maness Elbow 60-day DL (8/14)
08/12/16 LF Matt Holliday Thumb 15-day DL (8/12)
08/03/16 P Tyler Lyons Knee 60-day DL (7/31), out for season
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 60-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Cardinals
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