Wednesday, September 28, 2016
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Anthony DeSclafani vs. Mike Leake
The Cincinnati Reds head to Busch Stadium on Wednesday to take on the St. Louis Cardinals. The probable pitchers are Anthony DeSclafani for the Reds and Mike Leake for the Cardinals. The opening line for this game has Cincinnati at +162 and St. Louis at -172. The over/under is 8.5. The Reds have a 83-63-10 over/under mark and a 82-74-0 run line record, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Cardinals are 72-84-0 against the run line and have a 81-69-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 46% of the time.
The Reds head into this game with a 66-90 record, and they are 29-49 on the road. Starting pitcher Anthony DeSclafani has a 8-5 record with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.21. He has 102 strikeouts during his 117.1 innings pitched and he has given up 114 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.99. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 5.00 and they have allowed 550 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the pen while they've been struck out 503 times and walked 283 times this year. As a unit, Cincinnati has given up 9.09 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.73 hitters per nine. They are 27th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.86. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 1,403 base hits and 751 earned runs. They have allowed 246 home runs this season and they allow 1.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 609 batters and struck out 1,193. They walk 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 5.20.
As a team, Cincinnati is hitting .256, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .253 average on the road. The Reds have a .409 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .316 which is good for 22nd in the league. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.65 hits per contest. Brandon Phillips comes into this game hitting .293 and his on-base percentage is at .322. He has 160 hits this season along with 74 runs scored and 63 runs batted in. He's struck out 66 times and has walked 18 times. Joey Votto is hitting .321 and he has an on-base percentage of .435. He has totaled 170 hits so far while scoring 98 runs and he's driven in 90. He has walked 108 times and has struck out 118 times. The Reds have 1,348 hits, including 266 doubles and 160 home runs. They've stolen 131 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 50 times. Cincinnati has walked 438 times this season and they've struck out 1,231 times as a unit. They've left 969 men on base and have a team OPS of .725. They score 4.44 runs per contest and have scored a total of 692 runs so far this year.
St. Louis comes into this game with a 33-42 home mark and a 81-75 overall record. With an ERA of 4.72, Mike Leake has a 9-11 record and a 1.33 WHIP. He has 119 strikeouts over the 171.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 198 hits. He has allowed 10.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.91. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.72 and they have given up 423 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the Cardinals bullpen while being struck out 478 times and walking 187 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.89 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.91 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.12. The Cardinals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,377 base knocks and 639 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 155 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a staff has walked 463 hitters and struck out 1,226. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 3.93.
As a team, they are batting .253, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .249 average at home. The Cardinals hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.69 hits per contest. Aledmys Diaz comes into this matchup batting .301 and he has an OBP of .370. He has 115 hits this year along with 66 runs scored and 61 RBI. He's struck out 59 times and has walked on 38 occasions. Stephen Piscotty is hitting .272 and he has an OBP of .341. He has collected 152 hits so far while he's scored 83 runs and drove in 83. He has earned a walk 49 times and has punched out 129 times. The Cardinals as a unit have 1,356 base hits, including 288 doubles and 213 homers. They have 35 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 25 times. St. Louis as a team has walked 504 times this year and they have struck out 1,276 times. They've had 1,071 men left on base and have an OPS of .762. They score 4.75 runs per game and have totaled 741 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 83-63-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 82-74-0 against the run line so far this season
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 81-69-6 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 72-84-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/19/16 SS Zack Cozart Knee 15-day DL (9/16), out for season
09/16/16 CF Billy Hamilton Oblique 15-day DL (9/5)
09/16/16 P Cody Reed Back 15-day DL (9/5)
09/14/16 P Alfredo Simon Shoulder 60-day DL (9/12)
09/09/16 P Homer Bailey Bicep out indefinitely
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
St. Louis Cardinals
09/27/16 2B Kolten Wong Shoulder "?" Tuesday vs. Cincinnati Reds
09/27/16 3B Matt Carpenter Finger "?" Tuesday vs. Cincinnati Reds
09/27/16 SS Aledmys Diaz Shoulder "?" Tuesday vs. Cincinnati Reds
09/05/16 P Seth Maness Elbow 60-day DL (8/14)
08/12/16 LF Matt Holliday Thumb 15-day DL (8/12)
08/03/16 P Tyler Lyons Knee 60-day DL (7/31), out for season
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 60-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Cardinals
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks