Thursday, September 29, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Dan Straily vs. Alex Reyes
The Cincinnati Reds visit Busch Stadium on Thursday to play the St. Louis Cardinals. The probable starters are Dan Straily for the Reds and Alex Reyes for the Cardinals. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +175 and St. Louis at -185. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Reds have a 84-63-10 over/under record and a 82-75-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Cardinals are 73-84-0 against the run line and have a 82-69-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
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The Reds head into this matchup with a 66-91 record, including 29-50 on the road. Starting pitcher Dan Straily has a 14-8 record with an earned run average of 3.74 and a WHIP of 1.18. He has 155 strikeouts over his 185.1 innings pitched and he has given up 148 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.81. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.07 and they have given up 558 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the bullpen while being struck out 506 times and walking 287 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.12 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.73 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.91. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 1,416 base hits and 763 earned runs. They have allowed 251 home runs this season and they allow 1.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 614 batters and struck out 1,200. They walk 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 5.24.
As a team, Cincinnati is batting .256, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .254 average away from home. The Reds hold a .410 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.67 hits per game. Brandon Phillips comes into this game hitting .291 and his on-base percentage is at .320. He has 160 hits this season along with 74 runs scored and 64 runs batted in. He's struck out 68 times and has walked 18 times. Joey Votto is hitting .324 and he has an on-base percentage of .437. He has totaled 173 hits so far while scoring 99 runs and he's driven in 92. He has walked 108 times and has struck out 118 times. The Reds have 1,360 hits, including 267 doubles and 162 home runs. They've stolen 132 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 50 times. Cincinnati has walked 440 times this season and they've struck out 1,239 times as a unit. They've left 978 men on base and have a team OPS of .726. They score 4.44 runs per contest and have scored a total of 697 runs so far this year.
St. Louis comes into this matchup with a 34-42 home record and a 82-75 overall mark. With an earned run average of 1.58, Alex Reyes has a 4-1 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 46 strikeouts over the 40 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 26 hits. He has allowed 5.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.74. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.70 and they have given up 425 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the Cardinals bullpen while being struck out 480 times and walking 187 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.91 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.91 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.13. The Cardinals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,389 base knocks and 644 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 157 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a staff has walked 465 hitters and struck out 1,234. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 3.94.
As a team, they are batting .254, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .251 average at home. The Cardinals hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.71 hits per contest. Aledmys Diaz comes into this matchup batting .301 and he has an OBP of .368. He has 116 hits this year along with 67 runs scored and 65 RBI. He's struck out 59 times and has walked on 38 occasions. Stephen Piscotty is hitting .272 and he has an OBP of .343. He has collected 153 hits so far while he's scored 84 runs and drove in 83. He has earned a walk 51 times and has punched out 130 times. The Cardinals as a unit have 1,369 base hits, including 288 doubles and 218 homers. They have 35 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 26 times. St. Louis as a team has walked 509 times this year and they have struck out 1,283 times. They've had 1,076 men left on base and have an OPS of .765. They score 4.8 runs per game and have totaled 753 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 84-63-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 82-75-0 against the run line so far this season
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 82-69-6 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 73-84-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/27/16 2B Brandon Phillips Hand injured last game, "?" Wednesday vs. St. Louis Cardinals
09/19/16 SS Zack Cozart Knee 15-day DL (9/16), out for season
09/16/16 CF Billy Hamilton Oblique 15-day DL (9/5)
09/16/16 P Cody Reed Back 15-day DL (9/5)
09/14/16 P Alfredo Simon Shoulder 60-day DL (9/12)
09/09/16 P Homer Bailey Bicep out indefinitely
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
St. Louis Cardinals
09/27/16 2B Kolten Wong Shoulder "?" Wednesday vs. Cincinnati Reds
09/05/16 P Seth Maness Elbow 60-day DL (8/14)
08/12/16 LF Matt Holliday Thumb 15-day DL (8/12)
08/03/16 P Tyler Lyons Knee 60-day DL (7/31), out for season
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 60-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Reds
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