Thursday, June 30, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Brandon Finnegan vs. Gio Gonzalez
The Cincinnati Reds head to Nationals Park on Thursday to take on the Washington Nationals. The probable pitchers are Brandon Finnegan for the Reds and Gio Gonzalez for the Nationals. The opening line for this game has Cincinnati at +185 and Washington at -200. The over/under is 8.5. The Reds have a 43-28-7 over/under mark and a 39-39-0 run line record, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Nationals are 40-38-0 against the run line and have a 39-33-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Reds head into this game with a 29-49 record, and they are 11-25 on the road. Starting pitcher Brandon Finnegan has a 3-6 record with an ERA of 3.83 and a WHIP of 1.32. He has 67 strikeouts during his 94 innings pitched and he has given up 80 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.92. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 6.08 and they have allowed 302 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .268 against the pen while they've been struck out 244 times and walked 154 times this year. As a unit, Cincinnati has given up 9.47 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.15 hitters per nine. They are 30th in the Majors in team earned run average at 5.38. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 734 base hits and 417 earned runs. They have allowed 131 home runs this season and they allow 1.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 337 batters and struck out 554. They walk 4.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.54 and their FIP as a unit is 5.62.
As a team, Cincinnati is hitting .236, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .240 average on the road. The Reds have a .402 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .296 which is good for 29th in the league. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.88 hits per contest. Zack Cozart comes into this game hitting .267 and his on-base percentage is at .315. He has 70 hits this season along with 42 runs scored and 31 runs batted in. He's struck out 40 times and has walked 18 times. Jay Bruce is hitting .275 and he has an on-base percentage of .322. He has totaled 76 hits so far while scoring 44 runs and he's driven in 59. He has walked 18 times and has struck out 62 times. The Reds have 614 hits, including 132 doubles and 89 home runs. They've stolen 56 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 26 times. Cincinnati has walked 202 times this season and they've struck out 660 times as a unit. They've left 428 men on base and have a team OPS of .697. They score 4.28 runs per contest and have scored a total of 334 runs so far this year.
Washington comes into this game with a 22-12 home mark and a 46-32 overall record. With an ERA of 4.73, Gio Gonzalez has a 3-7 record and a 1.37 WHIP. He has 88 strikeouts over the 85.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 89 hits. He has allowed 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.66. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.12 and they have given up 175 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the Nationals bullpen while being struck out 224 times and walking 70 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.69 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.51 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.34. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 598 base knocks and 260 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 75 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a staff has walked 211 hitters and struck out 740. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.16 while their FIP as a staff is 3.44.
As a team, they are batting .254, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .255 average at home. The Nationals hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.58 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this matchup batting .258 and he has an OBP of .403. He has 64 hits this year along with 45 runs scored and 46 RBI. He's struck out 52 times and has walked on 62 occasions. Daniel Murphy is hitting .349 and he has an OBP of .393. He has collected 101 hits so far while he's scored 44 runs and drove in 50. He has earned a walk 17 times and has punched out 32 times. The Nationals as a unit have 669 base hits, including 126 doubles and 102 homers. They have 47 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 22 times. Washington as a team has walked 272 times this year and they have struck out 603 times. They've had 538 men left on base and have an OPS of .752. They score 4.59 runs per game and have totaled 358 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 43-28-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 39-39-0 against the run line so far this season
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 39-33-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 40-38-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/16)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
06/26/16 P Stephen Strasburg Back 15-day DL (6/16)
06/14/16 P Jonathan Papelbon Side 15-day DL (6/13)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
Josh's Pick: Take the Nationals
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