Friday, July 1, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Anthony DeSclafani vs. Tanner Roark
The Cincinnati Reds head to Nationals Park on Friday to take on the Washington Nationals. The probable pitchers are Anthony DeSclafani for the Reds and Tanner Roark for the Nationals. The opening line for this game has Cincinnati at +184 and Washington at -195. The over/under is 8.5. The Reds have a 44-28-7 over/under mark and a 39-40-0 run line record, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Nationals are 41-38-0 against the run line and have a 39-34-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
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The Reds head into this game with a 29-50 record, and they are 11-25 on the road. Starting pitcher Anthony DeSclafani has a 2-0 record with an ERA of 1.52 and a WHIP of 1.31. He has 15 strikeouts during his 23.2 innings pitched and he has given up 24 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.13. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 6.00 and they have allowed 305 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .267 against the pen while they've been struck out 250 times and walked 159 times this year. As a unit, Cincinnati has given up 9.51 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.2 hitters per nine. They are 30th in the Majors in team earned run average at 5.42. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 746 base hits and 425 earned runs. They have allowed 134 home runs this season and they allow 1.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 342 batters and struck out 565. They walk 4.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.54 and their FIP as a unit is 5.64.
As a team, Cincinnati is hitting .237, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .240 average on the road. The Reds have a .402 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .297 which is good for 29th in the league. They rank 27th in baseball with 7.9 hits per contest. Zack Cozart comes into this game hitting .266 and his on-base percentage is at .314. He has 70 hits this season along with 42 runs scored and 32 runs batted in. He's struck out 40 times and has walked 18 times. Jay Bruce is hitting .279 and he has an on-base percentage of .325. He has totaled 78 hits so far while scoring 44 runs and he's driven in 59. He has walked 18 times and has struck out 62 times. The Reds have 623 hits, including 134 doubles and 90 home runs. They've stolen 56 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 27 times. Cincinnati has walked 207 times this season and they've struck out 667 times as a unit. They've left 437 men on base and have a team OPS of .698. They score 4.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 336 runs so far this year.
Washington comes into this game with a 23-12 home mark and a 47-32 overall record. With an ERA of 2.96, Tanner Roark has a 7-5 record and a 1.22 WHIP. He has 89 strikeouts over the 100.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 90 hits. He has allowed 8.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.4. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.18 and they have given up 179 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the Nationals bullpen while being struck out 228 times and walking 70 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.67 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.57 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.33. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 604 base knocks and 262 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 76 home runs this year and they give up 1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a staff has walked 212 hitters and struck out 754. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.15 while their FIP as a staff is 3.43.
As a team, they are batting .253, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .254 average at home. The Nationals hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.53 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this matchup batting .256 and he has an OBP of .404. He has 64 hits this year along with 46 runs scored and 46 RBI. He's struck out 52 times and has walked on 64 occasions. Daniel Murphy is hitting .352 and he has an OBP of .394. He has collected 103 hits so far while he's scored 46 runs and drove in 53. He has earned a walk 17 times and has punched out 33 times. The Nationals as a unit have 674 base hits, including 127 doubles and 104 homers. They have 47 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 22 times. Washington as a team has walked 277 times this year and they have struck out 605 times. They've had 543 men left on base and have an OPS of .752. They score 4.58 runs per game and have totaled 362 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 44-28-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 39-40-0 against the run line so far this season
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 39-34-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 41-38-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/29/16 CF Billy Hamilton Concussion left last game, "?" Thursday vs. Washington Nationals
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/16)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
06/26/16 P Stephen Strasburg Back 15-day DL (6/16)
06/14/16 P Jonathan Papelbon Side 15-day DL (6/13)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
Josh's Pick: Take the Nationals
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