Saturday, July 2, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Dan Straily vs. Joe Ross
The Cincinnati Reds visit Nationals Park on Saturday to play the Washington Nationals. The probable starters are Dan Straily for the Reds and Joe Ross for the Nationals. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +196 and Washington at -212. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Reds have a 45-28-7 over/under record and a 39-41-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Nationals are 42-38-0 against the run line and have a 40-34-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
The Reds head into this matchup with a 29-51 record, including 11-26 on the road. Starting pitcher Dan Straily has a 4-5 record with an earned run average of 4.38 and a WHIP of 1.26. He has 74 strikeouts over his 88.1 innings pitched and he has given up 71 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.67. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 6.04 and they have given up 311 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .267 against the bullpen while being struck out 256 times and walking 161 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.54 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.22 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.52. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 757 base hits and 438 earned runs. They have allowed 137 home runs this season and they allow 1.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 349 batters and struck out 573. They walk 4.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.55 and their FIP as a unit is 5.68.
As a team, Cincinnati is batting .237, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .241 average away from home. The Reds hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .298 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.91 hits per game. Zack Cozart comes into this game hitting .263 and his on-base percentage is at .315. He has 70 hits this season along with 43 runs scored and 32 runs batted in. He's struck out 41 times and has walked 20 times. Jay Bruce is hitting .279 and he has an on-base percentage of .325. He has totaled 79 hits so far while scoring 45 runs and he's driven in 59. He has walked 18 times and has struck out 63 times. The Reds have 632 hits, including 136 doubles and 91 home runs. They've stolen 56 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 27 times. Cincinnati has walked 212 times this season and they've struck out 678 times as a unit. They've left 445 men on base and have a team OPS of .699. They score 4.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 340 runs so far this year.
Washington comes into this matchup with a 24-12 home record and a 48-32 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.30, Joe Ross has a 7-4 record and a 1.22 WHIP. He has 77 strikeouts over the 90 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 84 hits. He has allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.58. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.13 and they have given up 182 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the Nationals bullpen while being struck out 230 times and walking 71 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.68 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.59 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.33. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 613 base knocks and 266 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 77 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a staff has walked 217 hitters and struck out 765. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.16 while their FIP as a staff is 3.44.
As a team, they are batting .254, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .256 average at home. The Nationals hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.56 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this matchup batting .256 and he has an OBP of .404. He has 64 hits this year along with 46 runs scored and 46 RBI. He's struck out 52 times and has walked on 64 occasions. Daniel Murphy is hitting .351 and he has an OBP of .394. He has collected 104 hits so far while he's scored 47 runs and drove in 53. He has earned a walk 17 times and has punched out 33 times. The Nationals as a unit have 685 base hits, including 130 doubles and 107 homers. They have 47 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 22 times. Washington as a team has walked 284 times this year and they have struck out 613 times. They've had 549 men left on base and have an OPS of .757. They score 4.69 runs per game and have totaled 375 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 45-28-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 39-41-0 against the run line so far this season
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 40-34-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 42-38-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/16)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
06/26/16 P Stephen Strasburg Back 15-day DL (6/16)
06/14/16 P Jonathan Papelbon Side 15-day DL (6/13)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
Guy's Pick: Take the Reds
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