Wednesday, June 29, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Danny Salazar vs. Casey Kelly
The Cleveland Indians head to Turner Field on Wednesday to take on the Atlanta Braves. The probable pitchers are Danny Salazar for the Indians and Casey Kelly for the Braves. The opening line for this game has Cleveland at -190 and Atlanta at +180. The over/under is 9. The Indians have a 38-31-6 over/under mark and a 40-35-0 run line record, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Braves are 34-42-0 against the run line and have a 33-37-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 45% of the time.
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The Indians head into this game with a 45-30 record, and they are 22-18 on the road. Starting pitcher Danny Salazar has a 9-3 record with an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 1.15. He has 99 strikeouts during his 86.1 innings pitched and he has given up 56 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 5.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.29. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.27 and they have allowed 177 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the pen while they've been struck out 203 times and walked 79 times this year. As a unit, Cleveland has given up 7.89 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.35 hitters per nine. They are 5th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.50. The Indians pitchers have collectively given up 591 base hits and 262 earned runs. They have allowed 83 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 205 batters and struck out 625. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.18 and their FIP as a unit is 3.87.
As a team, Cleveland is hitting .260, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .234 average on the road. The Indians have a .436 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .323 which is good for 18th in the league. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.91 hits per contest. Jason Kipnis comes into this game hitting .267 and his on-base percentage is at .323. He has 77 hits this season along with 37 runs scored and 42 runs batted in. He's struck out 67 times and has walked 25 times. Francisco Lindor is hitting .314 and he has an on-base percentage of .373. He has totaled 90 hits so far while scoring 51 runs and he's driven in 39. He has walked 28 times and has struck out 41 times. The Indians have 668 hits, including 128 doubles and 96 home runs. They've stolen 58 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 14 times. Cleveland has walked 239 times this season and they've struck out 591 times as a unit. They've left 482 men on base and have a team OPS of .760. They score 4.92 runs per contest and have scored a total of 369 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this game with a 11-30 home mark and a 26-50 overall record. With an ERA of 5.79, Casey Kelly has a 0-2 record and a 1.71 WHIP. He has 5 strikeouts over the 18.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 26 hits. He has allowed 12.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.6. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 252 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 270 times and walking 126 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.49 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.84 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.37. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 651 base knocks and 335 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 80 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 261 hitters and struck out 601. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.17.
As a team, they are batting .238, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .238 average at home. The Braves hold a .337 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.09 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .254 and he has an OBP of .335. He has 72 hits this year along with 29 runs scored and 41 RBI. He's struck out 46 times and has walked on 35 occasions. Freddie Freeman is hitting .285 and he has an OBP of .369. He has collected 81 hits so far while he's scored 36 runs and drove in 28. He has earned a walk 33 times and has punched out 82 times. The Braves as a unit have 615 base hits, including 120 doubles and 38 homers. They have 42 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 20 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 217 times this year and they have struck out 585 times. They've had 546 men left on base and have an OPS of .639. They score 3.33 runs per game and have totaled 253 runs so far this season.
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 38-31-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 40-35-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 33-37-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 34-42-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 15-day DL (5/10)
05/02/16 C Roberto Perez Thumb 60-day DL (5/2)
06/28/16 P John Gant Oblique injured last game, "?" next start
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 15-day DL (6/20)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (6/7)
06/03/16 P Mike Foltynewicz Elbow 15-day DL (6/1)
06/02/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (6/2)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Braves
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