Saturday, July 23, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Josh Tomlin vs. Kevin Gausman
The Cleveland Indians head to Oriole Park on Saturday to take on the Baltimore Orioles. The probable pitchers are Josh Tomlin for the Indians and Kevin Gausman for the Orioles. The opening line for this game has Cleveland at +105 and Baltimore at -115. The over/under is 9. The Indians have a 49-37-8 over/under mark and a 51-43-0 run line record, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Orioles are 51-43-0 against the run line and have a 45-46-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.
The Indians head into this game with a 56-38 record, and they are 30-22 on the road. Starting pitcher Josh Tomlin has a 10-2 record with an ERA of 3.34 and a WHIP of 1.11. He has 72 strikeouts during his 107.2 innings pitched and he has given up 107 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.89. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.72 and they have allowed 247 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the pen while they've been struck out 271 times and walked 114 times this year. As a unit, Cleveland has given up 8.02 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.48 hitters per nine. They are 5th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.60. The Indians pitchers have collectively given up 762 base hits and 342 earned runs. They have allowed 103 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 273 batters and struck out 806. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 3.86.
As a team, Cleveland is hitting .260, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .239 average on the road. The Indians have a .439 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .324 which is good for 14th in the league. They rank 10th in baseball with 9.04 hits per contest. Francisco Lindor comes into this game hitting .299 and his on-base percentage is at .358. He has 108 hits this season along with 67 runs scored and 49 runs batted in. He's struck out 56 times and has walked 35 times. Jason Kipnis is hitting .285 and he has an on-base percentage of .343. He has totaled 104 hits so far while scoring 53 runs and he's driven in 52. He has walked 32 times and has struck out 84 times. The Indians have 850 hits, including 168 doubles and 125 home runs. They've stolen 70 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 18 times. Cleveland has walked 302 times this season and they've struck out 750 times as a unit. They've left 615 men on base and have a team OPS of .763. They score 5.02 runs per contest and have scored a total of 472 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this game with a 33-14 home mark and a 54-40 overall record. With an ERA of 4.05, Kevin Gausman has a 1-7 record and a 1.29 WHIP. He has 88 strikeouts over the 93.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 100 hits. He has allowed 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.23. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.11 and they have given up 289 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 291 times and walking 131 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 9.08 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.52 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 839 base knocks and 398 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 108 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 331 hitters and struck out 695. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.46.
As a team, they are batting .267, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .278 average at home. The Orioles hold a .455 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.2 hits per contest. Mark Trumbo comes into this matchup batting .282 and he has an OBP of .335. He has 105 hits this year along with 55 runs scored and 68 RBI. He's struck out 104 times and has walked on 28 occasions. Manny Machado is hitting .310 and he has an OBP of .368. He has collected 113 hits so far while he's scored 64 runs and drove in 54. He has earned a walk 32 times and has punched out 70 times. The Orioles as a unit have 865 base hits, including 177 doubles and 142 homers. They have 13 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 278 times this year and they have struck out 791 times. They've had 633 men left on base and have an OPS of .782. They score 4.85 runs per game and have totaled 456 runs so far this season.
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 49-37-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 51-43-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 45-46-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 51-43-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/19/16 C Yan Gomes Shoulder 15-day DL (7/18)
07/18/16 P Tommy Hunter Back 15-day DL (7/10)
07/07/16 P Zach McAllister Hip 15-day DL (7/6)
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/10)
07/21/16 CF Adam Jones Back "?" Friday vs. Cleveland Indians
07/21/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb "?" Friday vs. Cleveland Indians
07/21/16 C Matt Wieters Foot "?" Friday vs. Cleveland Indians
07/20/16 LF Hyun-soo Kim Hamstring 15-day DL (7/11)
07/01/16 P T.J. McFarland Knee 15-day DL (6/29)
06/21/16 P Brian Duensing Elbow 15-day DL (6/20)
06/04/16 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 15-day DL (6/3)
Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles
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