Saturday, May 21, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Trevor Bauer vs. Joe Kelly
The Cleveland Indians visit Fenway Park on Saturday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Trevor Bauer for the Indians and Joe Kelly for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Cleveland at +119 and Boston at -129. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Indians have a 21-14-3 over/under record and a 16-22-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 42% of the time. The Red Sox are 24-17-0 against the run line and have a 23-16-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 59% of the time.
The Indians head into this matchup with a 21-17 record, including 10-9 on the road. Starting pitcher Trevor Bauer has a 3-1 record with an earned run average of 3.89 and a WHIP of 1.24. He has 37 strikeouts over his 34.2 innings pitched and he has given up 29 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.85. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.63 and they have given up 101 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the bullpen while being struck out 114 times and walking 48 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 7.76 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.39 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 3.82. The Indians pitchers have collectively given up 299 base hits and 147 earned runs. They have allowed 44 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 111 batters and struck out 323. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.18 and their FIP as a unit is 3.91.
As a team, Cleveland is batting .259, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .238 average away from home. The Indians hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 8th in baseball with 8.97 hits per game. Jason Kipnis comes into this game hitting .281 and his on-base percentage is at .335. He has 43 hits this season along with 23 runs scored and 21 runs batted in. He's struck out 41 times and has walked 14 times. Francisco Lindor is hitting .329 and he has an on-base percentage of .382. He has totaled 51 hits so far while scoring 27 runs and he's driven in 19. He has walked 13 times and has struck out 27 times. The Indians have 341 hits, including 71 doubles and 38 home runs. They've stolen 26 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. Cleveland has walked 126 times this season and they've struck out 325 times as a unit. They've left 250 men on base and have a team OPS of .730. They score 4.89 runs per contest and have scored a total of 186 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 14-8 home record and a 25-16 overall mark. With an earned run average of 9.35, Joe Kelly has a 1-0 record and a 2.77 WHIP. He has 11 strikeouts over the 8.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 14 hits. He has allowed 14.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 7.37. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.26 and they have given up 106 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 142 times and walking 59 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.24 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.98 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 336 base knocks and 172 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 39 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 149 hitters and struck out 366. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 3.87.
As a team, they are batting .296, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .311 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .484 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .357 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.56 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .339 and he has an OBP of .395. He has 57 hits this year along with 31 runs scored and 22 RBI. He's struck out 29 times and has walked on 15 occasions. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .299 and he has an OBP of .350. He has collected 49 hits so far while he's scored 30 runs and drove in 20. He has earned a walk 13 times and has punched out 27 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 433 base hits, including 105 doubles and 49 homers. They have 31 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 3 times. Boston as a team has walked 132 times this year and they have struck out 317 times. They've had 294 men left on base and have an OPS of .841. They score 5.85 runs per game and have totaled 240 runs so far this season.
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 21-14-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 16-22-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 23-16-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 24-17-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 15-day DL (5/10)
05/02/16 C Roberto Perez Thumb 60-day DL (5/2)
04/25/16 P Carlos Carrasco Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24)
Boston Red Sox
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/19/16 P Joe Kelly Shoulder 15-day DL (4/19)
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Eduardo Rodrigue Knee 15-day DL (4/2)
Tony's Pick: Take the Indians
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