Sunday, May 22, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Danny Salazar vs. Rick Porcello
The Cleveland Indians visit Fenway Park on Sunday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Danny Salazar for the Indians and Rick Porcello for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Cleveland at +105 and Boston at -115. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Indians have a 21-15-3 over/under record and a 17-22-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Red Sox are 24-18-0 against the run line and have a 23-17-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 57% of the time.
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The Indians head into this matchup with a 22-17 record, including 11-9 on the road. Starting pitcher Danny Salazar has a 4-2 record with an earned run average of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.00. He has 61 strikeouts over his 50 innings pitched and he has given up 27 hits so far this season. He has allowed 4.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.61. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.58 and they have given up 102 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the bullpen while being struck out 117 times and walking 49 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 7.72 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.77. The Indians pitchers have collectively given up 305 base hits and 149 earned runs. They have allowed 45 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 114 batters and struck out 332. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.18 and their FIP as a unit is 3.90.
As a team, Cleveland is batting .258, good for 9th in the league while putting together a .238 average away from home. The Indians hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 8.95 hits per game. Jason Kipnis comes into this game hitting .285 and his on-base percentage is at .337. He has 45 hits this season along with 24 runs scored and 24 runs batted in. He's struck out 41 times and has walked 14 times. Francisco Lindor is hitting .335 and he has an on-base percentage of .394. He has totaled 53 hits so far while scoring 28 runs and he's driven in 19. He has walked 15 times and has struck out 27 times. The Indians have 349 hits, including 73 doubles and 39 home runs. They've stolen 28 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. Cleveland has walked 131 times this season and they've struck out 330 times as a unit. They've left 259 men on base and have a team OPS of .730. They score 4.87 runs per contest and have scored a total of 190 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 14-9 home record and a 25-17 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.51, Rick Porcello has a 6-2 record and a 1.09 WHIP. He has 49 strikeouts over the 51.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 44 hits. He has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.83. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.19 and they have given up 109 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 144 times and walking 60 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.23 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.88 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 344 base knocks and 175 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 40 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 154 hitters and struck out 371. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 3.90.
As a team, they are batting .294, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .306 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .482 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .355 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.45 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .337 and he has an OBP of .392. He has 58 hits this year along with 31 runs scored and 23 RBI. He's struck out 30 times and has walked on 15 occasions. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .299 and he has an OBP of .350. He has collected 50 hits so far while he's scored 30 runs and drove in 20. He has earned a walk 13 times and has punched out 28 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 439 base hits, including 107 doubles and 50 homers. They have 31 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 3 times. Boston as a team has walked 135 times this year and they have struck out 326 times. They've had 300 men left on base and have an OPS of .837. They score 5.76 runs per game and have totaled 242 runs so far this season.
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 21-15-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 17-22-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 23-17-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 24-18-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 15-day DL (5/10)
05/02/16 C Roberto Perez Thumb 60-day DL (5/2)
04/25/16 P Carlos Carrasco Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24)
Boston Red Sox
05/20/16 LF Brock Holt Concussion 7-day DL (5/19)
05/20/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 15-day DL (5/15)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Eduardo Rodrigue Knee 15-day DL (4/2)
Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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