Saturday, October 29, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Corey Kluber vs. John Lackey
The Cleveland Indians visit Wrigley Field on Saturday to play the Chicago Cubs in Game 4 of the World Series. The probable starters are Corey Kluber for the Indians and John Lackey for the Cubs. The Indians have a 80-70-11 over/under record and a 75-86-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Cubs are 87-75-0 against the run line and have a 75-79-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.
The Indians head into this matchup with a 94-67 record, including 41-39 on the road. Starting pitcher Corey Kluber has a 18-9 record with an earned run average of 3.14 and a WHIP of 1.06. He has 227 strikeouts over his 215 innings pitched and he has given up 170 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.26. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.45 and they have given up 443 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen while being struck out 514 times and walking 190 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 8.28 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.71 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.84. The Indians pitchers have collectively given up 1,330 base hits and 617 earned runs. They have allowed 186 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 461 batters and struck out 1,398. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.91.
As a team, Cleveland is batting .262, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .236 average away from home. The Indians hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 8.91 hits per game. Jason Kipnis comes into this game hitting .275 and his on-base percentage is at .343. He has 168 hits this season along with 91 runs scored and 82 runs batted in. He's struck out 146 times and has walked 60 times. Mike Napoli is hitting .239 and he has an on-base percentage of .335. He has totaled 133 hits so far while scoring 92 runs and he's driven in 101. He has walked 78 times and has struck out 194 times. The Indians have 1,435 hits, including 308 doubles and 185 home runs. They've stolen 134 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 31 times. Cleveland has walked 531 times this season and they've struck out 1,246 times as a unit. They've left 1,084 men on base and have a team OPS of .759. They score 4.83 runs per contest and have scored a total of 777 runs so far this year.
Chicago comes into this matchup with a 57-24 home record and a 103-58 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.35, John Lackey has a 11-8 record and a 1.06 WHIP. He has 180 strikeouts over the 188.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 146 hits. He has allowed 7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.81. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.50 and they have given up 365 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the Cubs bullpen while being struck out 519 times and walking 199 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.92 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.88 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.13. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,125 base knocks and 511 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 163 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a staff has walked 495 hitters and struck out 1,441. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.11 while their FIP as a staff is 3.77.
As a team, they are batting .256, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .254 average at home. The Cubs hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .343 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.7 hits per contest. Anthony Rizzo comes into this matchup batting .292 and he has an OBP of .385. He has 170 hits this year along with 94 runs scored and 109 RBI. He's struck out 108 times and has walked on 74 occasions. Javier Baez is hitting .273 and he has an OBP of .314. He has collected 115 hits so far while he's scored 50 runs and drove in 59. He has earned a walk 15 times and has punched out 108 times. The Cubs as a unit have 1,409 base hits, including 293 doubles and 199 homers. They have 66 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 34 times. Chicago as a team has walked 656 times this year and they have struck out 1,339 times. They've had 1,217 men left on base and have an OPS of .772. They score 4.99 runs per game and have totaled 808 runs so far this season.
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 80-70-11 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 75-86-0 against the run line so far this season
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 75-79-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 87-75-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
10/01/16 P Carlos Carrasco Hand 60-day DL (9/17), out for season
07/18/16 P Tommy Hunter Back 15-day DL (7/10)
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/10); out for season
10/27/16 LF Kyle Schwarber Knee not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday nor Sunday vs. Cleveland Indians
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Indians
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