Friday, July 15, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Carlos Carrasco vs. Ervin Santana
The Cleveland Indians visit Target Field on Friday to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Carlos Carrasco for the Indians and Ervin Santana for the Twins. The opening line for this matchup has Cleveland at -145 and Minnesota at +135. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Indians have a 46-35-7 over/under record and a 47-41-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Twins are 44-44-0 against the run line and have a 54-29-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Indians head into this matchup with a 52-36 record, including 26-20 on the road. Starting pitcher Carlos Carrasco has a 5-3 record with an earned run average of 2.47 and a WHIP of 1.10. He has 72 strikeouts over his 73 innings pitched and he has given up 60 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.03. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.55 and they have given up 233 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the bullpen while being struck out 255 times and walking 108 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 8.06 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.49 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.63. The Indians pitchers have collectively given up 717 base hits and 323 earned runs. They have allowed 100 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 256 batters and struck out 756. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.22 and their FIP as a unit is 3.93.
As a team, Cleveland is batting .259, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .234 average away from home. The Indians hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.99 hits per game. Jason Kipnis comes into this game hitting .276 and his on-base percentage is at .335. He has 94 hits this season along with 50 runs scored and 49 runs batted in. He's struck out 79 times and has walked 30 times. Francisco Lindor is hitting .306 and he has an on-base percentage of .363. He has totaled 103 hits so far while scoring 60 runs and he's driven in 45. He has walked 33 times and has struck out 50 times. The Indians have 791 hits, including 159 doubles and 113 home runs. They've stolen 67 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. Cleveland has walked 279 times this season and they've struck out 709 times as a unit. They've left 575 men on base and have a team OPS of .758. They score 4.95 runs per contest and have scored a total of 436 runs so far this year.
Minnesota comes into this matchup with a 19-27 home record and a 32-56 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.06, Ervin Santana has a 3-7 record and a 1.29 WHIP. He has 68 strikeouts over the 93 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 94 hits. He has allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.09. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.51 and they have given up 320 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .271 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 293 times and walking 96 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.09 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.61 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.97. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 873 base knocks and 430 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 119 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 239 hitters and struck out 658. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.47.
As a team, they are batting .253, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .261 average at home. The Twins hold a .419 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.72 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .271 and he has an OBP of .372. He has 84 hits this year along with 41 runs scored and 28 RBI. He's struck out 59 times and has walked on 50 occasions. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .321 and he has an OBP of .347. He has collected 101 hits so far while he's scored 46 runs and drove in 40. He has earned a walk 12 times and has punched out 41 times. The Twins as a unit have 767 base hits, including 152 doubles and 105 homers. They have 59 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 17 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 282 times this year and they have struck out 743 times. They've had 616 men left on base and have an OPS of .739. They score 4.49 runs per game and have totaled 395 runs so far this season.
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 46-35-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 47-41-0 against the run line so far this season
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 54-29-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 44-44-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/07/16 P Zach McAllister Hip 15-day DL (7/6)
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/10)
05/02/16 C Roberto Perez Thumb 60-day DL (5/2)
07/11/16 CF Byron Buxton Knee "?" Friday vs. Cleveland Indians
07/04/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Ribs 15-day DL (7/1)
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Indians
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