Friday, September 9, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Danny Salazar vs. Tyler Duffey
The Cleveland Indians visit Target Field on Friday to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Danny Salazar for the Indians and Tyler Duffey for the Twins. The opening line for this matchup has Cleveland at -158 and Minnesota at +148. The over/under was set at 9. The Indians have a 68-60-10 over/under record and a 66-72-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Twins are 71-69-0 against the run line and have a 88-45-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
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The Indians head into this matchup with a 80-58 record, including 34-33 on the road. Starting pitcher Danny Salazar has a 11-6 record with an earned run average of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.33. He has 157 strikeouts over his 133.1 innings pitched and he has given up 116 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.58. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.43 and they have given up 370 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen while being struck out 415 times and walking 161 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 8.28 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.72 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.80. The Indians pitchers have collectively given up 1,143 base hits and 525 earned runs. They have allowed 161 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 404 batters and struck out 1,204. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 3.93.
As a team, Cleveland is batting .265, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .238 average away from home. The Indians hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.11 hits per game. Jason Kipnis comes into this game hitting .282 and his on-base percentage is at .346. He has 149 hits this season along with 80 runs scored and 76 runs batted in. He's struck out 124 times and has walked 53 times. Francisco Lindor is hitting .320 and he has an on-base percentage of .365. He has totaled 172 hits so far while scoring 89 runs and he's driven in 66. He has walked 41 times and has struck out 76 times. The Indians have 1,257 hits, including 260 doubles and 169 home runs. They've stolen 110 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 28 times. Cleveland has walked 437 times this season and they've struck out 1,078 times as a unit. They've left 913 men on base and have a team OPS of .766. They score 4.91 runs per contest and have scored a total of 677 runs so far this year.
Minnesota comes into this matchup with a 28-44 home record and a 52-88 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.24, Tyler Duffey has a 8-10 record and a 1.48 WHIP. He has 96 strikeouts over the 115.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 142 hits. He has allowed 11.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.85. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.75 and they have given up 537 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .276 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 452 times and walking 167 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.35 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.36 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.25. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,430 base knocks and 726 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 199 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 402 hitters and struck out 1,017. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 4.64.
As a team, they are batting .258, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .261 average at home. The Twins hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 8.99 hits per contest. Brian Dozier comes into this matchup batting .278 and he has an OBP of .348. He has 148 hits this year along with 94 runs scored and 92 RBI. He's struck out 108 times and has walked on 53 occasions. Joe Mauer is hitting .271 and he has an OBP of .371. He has collected 127 hits so far while he's scored 67 runs and drove in 47. He has earned a walk 75 times and has punched out 88 times. The Twins as a unit have 1,259 base hits, including 264 doubles and 174 homers. They have 83 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 26 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 436 times this year and they have struck out 1,201 times. They've had 979 men left on base and have an OPS of .753. They score 4.65 runs per game and have totaled 651 runs so far this season.
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 68-60-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 66-72-0 against the run line so far this season
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 88-45-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 71-69-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/31/16 C Yan Gomes Shoulder 60-day DL (7/18)
07/18/16 P Tommy Hunter Back 15-day DL (7/10)
07/07/16 P Zach McAllister Hip 15-day DL (7/6)
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/10); out for season
09/08/16 RF Joe Mauer Quad "?" Friday vs. Cleveland Indians
09/07/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Oblique out indefinitely
08/29/16 CF Danny Santana Shoulder 60-day DL (8/29); out for season
08/24/16 DH Byung Ho Park Wrist out for season
08/13/16 P Tommy Milone Bicep 15-day DL (8/11)
08/11/16 P Trevor May Back 15-day DL (8/7)
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
Josh's Pick: Take the Indians
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