Monday, June 6, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Trevor Bauer vs. James Paxton
The Cleveland Indians visit Safeco Field on Monday to play the Seattle Mariners. The probable starters are Trevor Bauer for the Indians and James Paxton for the Mariners. The opening line for this matchup has Cleveland at +106 and Seattle at -116. The over/under was set at 8. The Indians have a 30-19-5 over/under record and a 25-29-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Mariners are 26-29-0 against the run line and have a 28-23-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
The Indians head into this matchup with a 30-24 record, including 14-12 on the road. Starting pitcher Trevor Bauer has a 3-2 record with an earned run average of 4.27 and a WHIP of 1.35. He has 47 strikeouts over his 52.2 innings pitched and he has given up 50 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.24. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.49 and they have given up 141 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the bullpen while being struck out 157 times and walking 66 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 8.14 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.22 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.84. The Indians pitchers have collectively given up 443 base hits and 209 earned runs. They have allowed 63 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 158 batters and struck out 447. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 4.00.
As a team, Cleveland is batting .258, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .230 average away from home. The Indians hold a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.89 hits per game. Jason Kipnis comes into this game hitting .271 and his on-base percentage is at .323. He has 58 hits this season along with 30 runs scored and 29 runs batted in. He's struck out 51 times and has walked 18 times. Francisco Lindor is hitting .308 and he has an on-base percentage of .364. He has totaled 66 hits so far while scoring 37 runs and he's driven in 26. He has walked 19 times and has struck out 32 times. The Indians have 480 hits, including 98 doubles and 61 home runs. They've stolen 39 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. Cleveland has walked 184 times this season and they've struck out 434 times as a unit. They've left 363 men on base and have a team OPS of .744. They score 4.83 runs per contest and have scored a total of 261 runs so far this year.
Seattle comes into this matchup with a 12-14 home record and a 31-24 overall mark. With an earned run average of 7.36, James Paxton has a 0-1 record and a 3.00 WHIP. He has 7 strikeouts over the 3.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 10 hits. He has allowed 24.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 7.21. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.96 and they have given up 134 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the Mariners bullpen while being struck out 186 times and walking 55 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.49 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.45 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.84. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 464 base knocks and 210 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 67 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a staff has walked 159 hitters and struck out 462. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 4.10.
As a team, they are batting .264, good for 9th in the league while putting together a .249 average at home. The Mariners hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 9.09 hits per contest. Nelson Cruz comes into this matchup batting .290 and he has an OBP of .383. He has 58 hits this year along with 31 runs scored and 38 RBI. He's struck out 51 times and has walked on 26 occasions. Robinson Cano is hitting .290 and he has an OBP of .350. He has collected 65 hits so far while he's scored 41 runs and drove in 48. He has earned a walk 17 times and has punched out 31 times. The Mariners as a unit have 500 base hits, including 80 doubles and 81 homers. They have 17 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Seattle as a team has walked 181 times this year and they have struck out 404 times. They've had 365 men left on base and have an OPS of .778. They score 5.18 runs per game and have totaled 285 runs so far this season.
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 30-19-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 25-29-0 against the run line so far this season
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 28-23-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 26-29-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/24/16 P Joba Chamberlain Side 15-day DL (5/22); expected to be activated Monday
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 15-day DL (5/10)
05/02/16 C Roberto Perez Thumb 60-day DL (5/2)
06/05/16 SS Ketel Marte Thumb 15-day DL (5/22); expected to be activated Monday vs Cleveland
06/01/16 P Felix Hernandez Calf 15-day DL (5/28)
05/28/16 CF Leonys Martin Hamstring 15-day DL (5/26)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Guy's Pick: Take the Indians
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