Thursday, May 26, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jon Gray vs. Clay Buchholz
The Colorado Rockies visit Fenway Park on Thursday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Jon Gray for the Rockies and Clay Buchholz for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Colorado at +155 and Boston at -165. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Rockies have a 21-22-1 over/under record and a 24-20-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 55% of the time. The Red Sox are 27-18-0 against the run line and have a 24-18-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 60% of the time.
The Rockies head into this matchup with a 21-23 record, including 13-13 on the road. Starting pitcher Jon Gray has a 1-2 record with an earned run average of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.38. He has 39 strikeouts over his 32 innings pitched and he has given up 34 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.57. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.03 and they have given up 148 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the bullpen while being struck out 130 times and walking 51 times this season. As a team, Colorado has allowed 9.55 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.53 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.88. The Rockies pitchers have collectively given up 415 base hits and 212 earned runs. They have allowed 42 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Colorado as a pitching staff has walked 131 batters and struck out 327. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 3.90.
As a team, Colorado is batting .270, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .253 average away from home. The Rockies hold a .445 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.39 hits per game. Carlos Gonzalez comes into this game hitting .271 and his on-base percentage is at .315. He has 46 hits this season along with 26 runs scored and 13 runs batted in. He's struck out 37 times and has walked 11 times. Nolan Arenado is hitting .292 and he has an on-base percentage of .366. He has totaled 50 hits so far while scoring 32 runs and he's driven in 34. He has walked 19 times and has struck out 19 times. The Rockies have 414 hits, including 86 doubles and 50 home runs. They've stolen 19 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 17 times. Colorado has walked 126 times this season and they've struck out 345 times as a unit. They've left 286 men on base and have a team OPS of .771. They score 4.86 runs per contest and have scored a total of 214 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 17-9 home record and a 28-17 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.92, Clay Buchholz has a 2-4 record and a 1.47 WHIP. He has 35 strikeouts over the 51.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 52 hits. He has allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.49. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.08 and they have given up 112 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .217 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 157 times and walking 62 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.98 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.04. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 358 base knocks and 181 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 42 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 161 hitters and struck out 402. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 3.80.
As a team, they are batting .297, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .311 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .485 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .361 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.58 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .349 and he has an OBP of .402. He has 65 hits this year along with 35 runs scored and 25 RBI. He's struck out 31 times and has walked on 16 occasions. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .303 and he has an OBP of .364. He has collected 54 hits so far while he's scored 34 runs and drove in 20. He has earned a walk 17 times and has punched out 28 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 476 base hits, including 117 doubles and 53 homers. They have 31 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 3 times. Boston as a team has walked 151 times this year and they have struck out 341 times. They've had 333 men left on base and have an OPS of .846. They score 5.87 runs per game and have totaled 264 runs so far this season.
Colorado Rockies Betting Trends
The Colorado Rockies are 21-22-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Colorado Rockies are 24-20-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 24-18-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 27-18-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/20/16 P Christian Bergman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/13/16 SS Jose Reyes Suspension 51-game suspension, eligible to return June 1
05/07/16 C Nick Hundley Oblique 15-day DL (5/6)
04/10/16 P Adam Ottavino Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Tyler Anderson Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jairo Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jason Motte Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
Boston Red Sox
05/25/16 1B Hanley Ramirez Toe injured last game, "?" Wednesday vs. Colorado Rockies
05/25/16 C Ryan Hanigan Hand is expected to be in the starting lineup Wednesday vs. Colorado Rockies
05/25/16 1B Travis Shaw Hand probable Wednesday vs. Colorado Rockies
05/20/16 LF Brock Holt Concussion 7-day DL (5/19)
05/20/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 15-day DL (5/15)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Eduardo Rodrigue Knee 15-day DL (4/2)
Josh's Pick: Take the Rockies
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