Saturday, April 16, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Christian Bergman vs. Jake Arrieta
The Colorado Rockies visit Wrigley Field on Saturday to play the Chicago Cubs. The probable starters are Christian Bergman for the Rockies and Jake Arrieta for the Cubs. The opening line for this matchup has Colorado at +288 and Chicago at -325. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Rockies have a 6-3-0 over/under record and a 5-4-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 56% of the time. The Cubs are 8-1-0 against the run line and have a 6-3-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 89% of the time.
The Rockies head into this matchup with a 4-4 record, including 2-1 on the road. Starting pitcher Christian Bergman has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 12.00 and a WHIP of 2.33. He has 2 strikeouts over his 3 innings pitched and he has given up 6 hits so far this season. He has allowed 18 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.88. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 7.59 and they have given up 46 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .326 against the bullpen while being struck out 27 times and walking 9 times this season. As a team, Colorado has allowed 12.26 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.31 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 7.20. The Rockies pitchers have collectively given up 109 base hits and 64 earned runs. They have allowed 15 home runs this season and they allow 1.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Colorado as a pitching staff has walked 26 batters and struck out 65. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.69 and their FIP as a unit is 5.15.
As a team, Colorado is batting .300, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .294 average away from home. The Rockies hold a .591 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .356 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.67 hits per game. Carlos Gonzalez comes into this game hitting .378 and his on-base percentage is at .425. He has 14 hits this season along with 8 runs scored and 8 runs batted in. He's struck out 9 times and has walked 3 times. Nolan Arenado is hitting .297 and he has an on-base percentage of .350. He has totaled 11 hits so far while scoring 6 runs and he's driven in 14. He has walked 3 times and has struck out 2 times. The Rockies have 96 hits, including 25 doubles and 20 home runs. They've stolen 5 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 3 times. Colorado has walked 28 times this season and they've struck out 61 times as a unit. They've left 59 men on base and have a team OPS of .947. They score 6.44 runs per contest and have scored a total of 58 runs so far this year.
Chicago comes into this matchup with a 2-0 home record and a 7-1 overall mark. With an earned run average of 1.93, Jake Arrieta has a 2-0 record and a 0.79 WHIP. He has 12 strikeouts over the 14 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 10 hits. He has allowed 6.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.57. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 1.21 and they have given up 10 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .132 against the Cubs bullpen while being struck out 23 times and walking 2 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.14 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 2.34. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 55 base knocks and 21 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 5 home runs this year and they give up 0.6 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a staff has walked 17 hitters and struck out 69. They give up a walk 1.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 0.89 while their FIP as a staff is 2.94.
As a team, they are batting .270, good for 9th in the league while putting together a .242 average at home. The Cubs hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .384 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 9.22 hits per contest. Anthony Rizzo comes into this matchup batting .182 and he has an OBP of .357. He has 6 hits this year along with 7 runs scored and 10 RBI. He's struck out 8 times and has walked on 8 occasions. Kris Bryant is hitting .250 and he has an OBP of .357. He has collected 9 hits so far while he's scored 8 runs and drove in 5. He has earned a walk 6 times and has punched out 7 times. The Cubs as a unit have 83 base hits, including 17 doubles and 10 homers. They have 4 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 1 time. Chicago as a team has walked 53 times this year and they have struck out 71 times. They've had 73 men left on base and have an OPS of .820. They score 7.11 runs per game and have totaled 64 runs so far this season.
Colorado Rockies Betting Trends
The Colorado Rockies are 6-3-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Colorado Rockies are 5-4-0 against the run line so far this season
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 6-3-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 8-1-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/14/16 CF Charlie Blackmon Toe 15-day DL (4/13)
04/10/16 P Adam Ottavino Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jairo Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jason Motte Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jonathan Gray Abdominal 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Tyler Anderson Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Tyler Matzek Personal 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 2B Daniel Descalso Hand 15-day DL (3/25)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
03/30/16 SS Javier Baez Thumb 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Cubs
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