Monday, April 18, 2016
Great American Ball Park
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Probable Pitchers: Jordan Lyles vs. Alfredo Simon
The Colorado Rockies visit Great American Ball Park on Monday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Jordan Lyles for the Rockies and Alfredo Simon for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Colorado at +142 and Cincinnati at -152. The over/under was set at 7. The Rockies have a 7-4-0 over/under record and a 6-5-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 55% of the time. The Reds are 6-5-0 against the run line and have a 8-3-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 55% of the time.
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The Rockies head into this matchup with a 6-5 record, including 3-2 on the road. Starting pitcher Jordan Lyles has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 11.25 and a WHIP of 2.25. He has 5 strikeouts over his 8 innings pitched and he has given up 13 hits so far this season. He has allowed 14.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.14. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 7.58 and they have given up 51 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .311 against the bullpen while being struck out 33 times and walking 14 times this season. As a team, Colorado has allowed 11.23 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.61 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 6.59. The Rockies pitchers have collectively given up 121 base hits and 71 earned runs. They have allowed 18 home runs this season and they allow 1.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Colorado as a pitching staff has walked 35 batters and struck out 82. They walk 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.61 and their FIP as a unit is 5.06.
As a team, Colorado is batting .290, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .275 average away from home. The Rockies hold a .542 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .344 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 10.27 hits per game. Carlos Gonzalez comes into this game hitting .400 and his on-base percentage is at .449. He has 18 hits this season along with 10 runs scored and 10 runs batted in. He's struck out 10 times and has walked 4 times. Nolan Arenado is hitting .261 and he has an on-base percentage of .306. He has totaled 12 hits so far while scoring 8 runs and he's driven in 14. He has walked 3 times and has struck out 3 times. The Rockies have 113 hits, including 27 doubles and 21 home runs. They've stolen 9 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 4 times. Colorado has walked 32 times this season and they've struck out 78 times as a unit. They've left 70 men on base and have a team OPS of .887. They score 6 runs per contest and have scored a total of 66 runs so far this year.
Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 5-1 home record and a 6-5 overall mark. With an earned run average of 12.15, Alfredo Simon has a 0-1 record and a 2.55 WHIP. He has 9 strikeouts over the 6.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 12 hits. He has allowed 16.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 7.49. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.44 and they have given up 38 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 33 times and walking 26 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 8.72 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.48 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.93. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 92 base knocks and 52 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 18 home runs this year and they give up 1.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 54 hitters and struck out 79. They give up a walk 5.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.54 while their FIP as a staff is 5.93.
As a team, they are batting .260, good for 9th in the league while putting together a .270 average at home. The Reds hold a .421 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.36 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .244 and he has an OBP of .340. He has 10 hits this year along with 5 runs scored and 6 RBI. He's struck out 8 times and has walked on 6 occasions. Jay Bruce is hitting .310 and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 13 hits so far while he's scored 5 runs and drove in 12. He has earned a walk 1 time and has punched out 9 times. The Reds as a unit have 92 base hits, including 23 doubles and 10 homers. They have 6 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 2 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 34 times this year and they have struck out 71 times. They've had 64 men left on base and have an OPS of .746. They score 4.45 runs per game and have totaled 49 runs so far this season.
Colorado Rockies Betting Trends
The Colorado Rockies are 7-4-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Colorado Rockies are 6-5-0 against the run line so far this season
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 8-3-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 6-5-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/17/16 C Nick Hundley Concussion 7-day DL (4/14)
04/14/16 CF Charlie Blackmon Toe 15-day DL (4/14)
04/10/16 P Adam Ottavino Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jairo Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jason Motte Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jonathan Gray Abdominal 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Tyler Anderson Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Tyler Matzek Personal 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 2B Daniel Descalso Hand 15-day DL (3/25)
04/16/16 P Jon Moscot Back expected to be activated and start Sunday vs. St. Louis Cardinals
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 15-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 15-day DL (3/31)
04/03/16 P John Lamb Back 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Rockies
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