Thursday, July 28, 2016
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Tyler Anderson vs. Jacob deGrom
The Colorado Rockies visit Citi Field on Thursday to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Tyler Anderson for the Rockies and Jacob deGrom for the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Colorado at +185 and New York at -200. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Rockies have a 46-51-3 over/under record and a 53-47-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Mets are 42-57-0 against the run line and have a 40-56-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 42% of the time.
The Rockies head into this matchup with a 48-52 record, including 23-28 on the road. Starting pitcher Tyler Anderson has a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 3.56 and a WHIP of 1.29. He has 41 strikeouts over his 48 innings pitched and he has given up 52 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.2. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.86 and they have given up 344 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .266 against the bullpen while being struck out 280 times and walking 114 times this season. As a team, Colorado has allowed 9.66 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.36 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 4.91. The Rockies pitchers have collectively given up 946 base hits and 481 earned runs. They have allowed 105 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Colorado as a pitching staff has walked 319 batters and struck out 722. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.26.
As a team, Colorado is batting .269, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .238 average away from home. The Rockies hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333 which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.25 hits per game. Nolan Arenado comes into this game hitting .289 and his on-base percentage is at .357. He has 111 hits this season along with 69 runs scored and 78 runs batted in. He's struck out 57 times and has walked 40 times. Carlos Gonzalez is hitting .317 and he has an on-base percentage of .371. He has totaled 119 hits so far while scoring 66 runs and he's driven in 62. He has walked 32 times and has struck out 87 times. The Rockies have 926 hits, including 202 doubles and 125 home runs. They've stolen 42 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 28 times. Colorado has walked 316 times this season and they've struck out 810 times as a unit. They've left 664 men on base and have a team OPS of .787. They score 5.14 runs per contest and have scored a total of 514 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 27-21 home record and a 53-46 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.73, Jacob deGrom has a 6-5 record and a 1.10 WHIP. He has 103 strikeouts over the 105.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 92 hits. He has allowed 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.16. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.05 and they have given up 250 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .220 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 314 times and walking 108 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.51 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.32. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 830 base knocks and 322 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 88 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 248 hitters and struck out 839. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 3.45.
As a team, they are batting .237, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .231 average at home. The Mets hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.85 hits per contest. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this matchup batting .294 and he has an OBP of .366. He has 93 hits this year along with 48 runs scored and 56 RBI. He's struck out 84 times and has walked on 34 occasions. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .261 and he has an OBP of .314. He has collected 93 hits so far while he's scored 40 runs and drove in 33. He has earned a walk 21 times and has punched out 76 times. The Mets as a unit have 777 base hits, including 148 doubles and 130 homers. They have 25 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 12 times. New York as a team has walked 310 times this year and they have struck out 833 times. They've had 686 men left on base and have an OPS of .717. They score 3.71 runs per game and have totaled 367 runs so far this season.
Colorado Rockies Betting Trends
The Colorado Rockies are 46-51-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Colorado Rockies are 53-47-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 40-56-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 42-57-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/23/16 P Chad Qualls Illness 15-day DL (7/16)
07/06/16 P Justin Miller Oblique 15-day DL (7/3)
06/16/16 LF Gerardo Parra Ankle 15-day DL (6/15)
06/14/16 P Christopher Rusin Shoulder 15-day DL (6/9)
04/04/16 P Jairo Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
New York Mets
07/26/16 3B Jose Reyes Ribs injured last game, doubtful Wednesday vs. St. Louis Cardinals
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 15-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/22/16 P Jim Henderson Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Rockies
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks