Friday, July 29, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Tyler Chatwood vs. Steven Matz
The Colorado Rockies visit Citi Field on Friday to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Tyler Chatwood for the Rockies and Steven Matz for the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Colorado at -122 and New York at +112. The over/under was set at 6.5. The Rockies have a 46-52-3 over/under record and a 54-47-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Mets are 43-57-0 against the run line and have a 41-56-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 43% of the time.
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The Rockies head into this matchup with a 49-52 record, including 24-28 on the road. Starting pitcher Tyler Chatwood has a 9-6 record with an earned run average of 3.65 and a WHIP of 1.37. He has 66 strikeouts over his 103.2 innings pitched and he has given up 96 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.13. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.83 and they have given up 345 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .266 against the bullpen while being struck out 283 times and walking 114 times this season. As a team, Colorado has allowed 9.62 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.35 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.88. The Rockies pitchers have collectively given up 952 base hits and 482 earned runs. They have allowed 106 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Colorado as a pitching staff has walked 321 batters and struck out 728. They walk 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.26.
As a team, Colorado is batting .268, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .237 average away from home. The Rockies hold a .452 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332 which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.21 hits per game. Nolan Arenado comes into this game hitting .286 and his on-base percentage is at .354. He has 111 hits this season along with 69 runs scored and 78 runs batted in. He's struck out 59 times and has walked 40 times. Carlos Gonzalez is hitting .317 and he has an on-base percentage of .370. He has totaled 120 hits so far while scoring 66 runs and he's driven in 62. He has walked 32 times and has struck out 88 times. The Rockies have 931 hits, including 202 doubles and 127 home runs. They've stolen 43 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 28 times. Colorado has walked 319 times this season and they've struck out 821 times as a unit. They've left 669 men on base and have a team OPS of .785. They score 5.12 runs per contest and have scored a total of 517 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 27-22 home record and a 53-47 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.36, Steven Matz has a 8-6 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He has 101 strikeouts over the 107 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 107 hits. He has allowed 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.43. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.09 and they have given up 252 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 316 times and walking 110 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.34. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 837 base knocks and 327 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 88 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 253 hitters and struck out 848. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 3.44.
As a team, they are batting .238, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .234 average at home. The Mets hold a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.89 hits per contest. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this matchup batting .297 and he has an OBP of .367. He has 95 hits this year along with 49 runs scored and 58 RBI. He's struck out 84 times and has walked on 34 occasions. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .260 and he has an OBP of .313. He has collected 94 hits so far while he's scored 40 runs and drove in 33. He has earned a walk 21 times and has punched out 78 times. The Mets as a unit have 789 base hits, including 149 doubles and 131 homers. They have 26 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 12 times. New York as a team has walked 311 times this year and they have struck out 839 times. They've had 693 men left on base and have an OPS of .718. They score 3.71 runs per game and have totaled 371 runs so far this season.
Colorado Rockies Betting Trends
The Colorado Rockies are 46-52-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Colorado Rockies are 54-47-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 41-56-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 43-57-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/27/16 P Jason Motte Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (7/26)
07/23/16 P Chad Qualls Illness 15-day DL (7/16)
07/06/16 P Justin Miller Oblique 15-day DL (7/3)
06/16/16 LF Gerardo Parra Ankle 15-day DL (6/15)
04/04/16 P Jairo Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
New York Mets
07/28/16 3B Jose Reyes Ribs is not expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday vs. Colorado Rockies
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 15-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/22/16 P Jim Henderson Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Rockies
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