Saturday, July 30, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jorge De La Rosa vs. Bartolo Colon
The Colorado Rockies head to Citi Field on Saturday to take on the New York Mets. The probable pitchers are Jorge De La Rosa for the Rockies and Bartolo Colon for the Mets. The opening line for this game has Colorado at +127 and New York at -137. The over/under is 7.5. The Rockies have a 46-53-3 over/under mark and a 55-47-0 run line record, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Mets are 43-58-0 against the run line and have a 41-57-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 43% of the time.
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The Rockies head into this game with a 50-52 record, and they are 25-28 on the road. Starting pitcher Jorge De La Rosa has a 6-7 record with an ERA of 5.70 and a WHIP of 1.62. He has 65 strikeouts during his 79 innings pitched and he has given up 91 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 10.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.1. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.79 and they have allowed 348 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the pen while they've been struck out 286 times and walked 115 times this year. As a unit, Colorado has given up 9.62 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.35 hitters per nine. They are 27th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.84. The Rockies pitchers have collectively given up 962 base hits and 483 earned runs. They have allowed 106 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Colorado as a pitching staff has walked 322 batters and struck out 736. They walk 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.24.
As a team, Colorado is hitting .268, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .237 average on the road. The Rockies have a .449 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .332 which is good for 5th in the league. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.2 hits per contest. Nolan Arenado comes into this game hitting .282 and his on-base percentage is at .350. He has 111 hits this season along with 69 runs scored and 78 runs batted in. He's struck out 60 times and has walked 40 times. Carlos Gonzalez is hitting .316 and he has an on-base percentage of .369. He has totaled 121 hits so far while scoring 66 runs and he's driven in 62. He has walked 32 times and has struck out 89 times. The Rockies have 939 hits, including 202 doubles and 127 home runs. They've stolen 44 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 28 times. Colorado has walked 322 times this season and they've struck out 830 times as a unit. They've left 679 men on base and have a team OPS of .782. They score 5.09 runs per contest and have scored a total of 519 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this game with a 27-23 home mark and a 53-48 overall record. With an ERA of 3.35, Bartolo Colon has a 9-5 record and a 1.20 WHIP. He has 78 strikeouts over the 115.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 118 hits. He has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.19. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.13 and they have given up 255 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 319 times and walking 112 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.49 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.61 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.32. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 844 base knocks and 328 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 88 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 256 hitters and struck out 857. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 3.43.
As a team, they are batting .238, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .235 average at home. The Mets hold a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.91 hits per contest. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this matchup batting .297 and he has an OBP of .369. He has 95 hits this year along with 49 runs scored and 58 RBI. He's struck out 84 times and has walked on 35 occasions. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .260 and he has an OBP of .312. He has collected 95 hits so far while he's scored 40 runs and drove in 33. He has earned a walk 21 times and has punched out 79 times. The Mets as a unit have 799 base hits, including 153 doubles and 131 homers. They have 26 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 12 times. New York as a team has walked 312 times this year and they have struck out 847 times. They've had 702 men left on base and have an OPS of .718. They score 3.68 runs per game and have totaled 372 runs so far this season.
Colorado Rockies Betting Trends
The Colorado Rockies are 46-53-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Colorado Rockies are 55-47-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 41-57-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 43-58-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/27/16 P Jason Motte Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (7/26)
07/23/16 P Chad Qualls Illness 15-day DL (7/16)
07/06/16 P Justin Miller Oblique 15-day DL (7/3)
06/16/16 LF Gerardo Parra Ankle 15-day DL (6/15)
04/04/16 P Jairo Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
New York Mets
07/29/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb out indefinitely
07/28/16 3B Jose Reyes Ribs doubtful Friday vs. Colorado Rockies
07/28/16 CF Yoenis Cespedes Quad is not expected to be in the starting lineup Friday vs. Colorado Rockies
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 15-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/22/16 P Jim Henderson Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Mets
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