Thursday, May 19, 2016
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Jon Gray vs. Michael Wacha
The Colorado Rockies visit Busch Stadium on Thursday to play the St. Louis Cardinals. The probable starters are Jon Gray for the Rockies and Michael Wacha for the Cardinals. The opening line for this matchup has Colorado at +149 and St. Louis at -159. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Rockies have a 18-19-1 over/under record and a 22-16-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 58% of the time. The Cardinals are 19-20-0 against the run line and have a 23-14-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
The Rockies head into this matchup with a 20-18 record, including 12-8 on the road. Starting pitcher Jon Gray has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 4.71 and a WHIP of 1.15. He has 36 strikeouts over his 28.2 innings pitched and he has given up 26 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.34. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.43 and they have given up 134 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the bullpen while being struck out 111 times and walking 44 times this season. As a team, Colorado has allowed 9.47 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.71 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.84. The Rockies pitchers have collectively given up 360 base hits and 184 earned runs. They have allowed 41 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Colorado as a pitching staff has walked 111 batters and struck out 293. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.02.
As a team, Colorado is batting .276, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .259 average away from home. The Rockies hold a .460 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.66 hits per game. Carlos Gonzalez comes into this game hitting .287 and his on-base percentage is at .331. He has 43 hits this season along with 24 runs scored and 13 runs batted in. He's struck out 33 times and has walked 10 times. Nolan Arenado is hitting .307 and he has an on-base percentage of .377. He has totaled 46 hits so far while scoring 30 runs and he's driven in 33. He has walked 16 times and has struck out 16 times. The Rockies have 368 hits, including 81 doubles and 46 home runs. They've stolen 19 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. Colorado has walked 115 times this season and they've struck out 300 times as a unit. They've left 253 men on base and have a team OPS of .795. They score 5.13 runs per contest and have scored a total of 195 runs so far this year.
St. Louis comes into this matchup with a 9-11 home record and a 20-19 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.23, Michael Wacha has a 2-4 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 40 strikeouts over the 47.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 49 hits. He has allowed 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.66. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.23 and they have given up 94 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the Cardinals bullpen while being struck out 125 times and walking 42 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.18 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.92 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.83. The Cardinals pitchers as a team have surrendered 314 base knocks and 147 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 37 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a staff has walked 117 hitters and struck out 304. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 3.85.
As a team, they are batting .270, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .263 average at home. The Cardinals hold a .465 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341 which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.38 hits per contest. Matt Carpenter comes into this matchup batting .250 and he has an OBP of .378. He has 35 hits this year along with 25 runs scored and 26 RBI. He's struck out 32 times and has walked on 27 occasions. Yadier Molina is hitting .331 and he has an OBP of .409. He has collected 45 hits so far while he's scored 14 runs and drove in 16. He has earned a walk 17 times and has punched out 15 times. The Cardinals as a unit have 366 base hits, including 78 doubles and 54 homers. They have 13 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. St. Louis as a team has walked 136 times this year and they have struck out 306 times. They've had 288 men left on base and have an OPS of .806. They score 5.46 runs per game and have totaled 213 runs so far this season.
Colorado Rockies Betting Trends
The Colorado Rockies are 18-19-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Colorado Rockies are 22-16-0 against the run line so far this season
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 23-14-2 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 19-20-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/13/16 SS Jose Reyes Suspension expected to miss another 16 games
05/07/16 C Nick Hundley Oblique 15-day DL (5/6)
04/27/16 P Jorge DeLaRosa Groin 15-day DL (4/27)
04/23/16 P Miguel Castro Shoulder 15-day DL (4/18)
04/10/16 P Adam Ottavino Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jairo Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jason Motte Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Tyler Anderson Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Tyler Matzek Personal 15-day DL (3/25)
St. Louis Cardinals
05/15/16 P Seth Maness Elbow 15-day DL (5/13)
04/04/16 C Brayan Pena Knee 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 SS Jhonny Peralta Thumb 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 15-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
04/04/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 CF Thomas Pham Oblique 15-day DL (4/4)
Guy's Pick: Take the Cardinals
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks