Friday, September 30, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jordan Zimmermann vs. Matt Wisler
The Detroit Tigers head to Turner Field on Friday to take on the Atlanta Braves. The probable pitchers are Jordan Zimmermann for the Tigers and Matt Wisler for the Braves. The opening line for this game has Detroit at -150 and Atlanta at +140. The over/under is 9. The Tigers have a 80-71-7 over/under mark and a 85-73-0 run line record, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Braves are 82-75-0 against the run line and have a 82-66-9 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Tigers head into this game with a 85-73 record, and they are 40-38 on the road. Starting pitcher Jordan Zimmermann has a 9-6 record with an ERA of 4.88 and a WHIP of 1.36. He has 64 strikeouts during his 101.1 innings pitched and he has given up 115 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 10.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.29. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.21 and they have allowed 497 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the pen while they've been struck out 438 times and walked 181 times this year. As a unit, Detroit has given up 8.96 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.74 hitters per nine. They are 20th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.26. The Tigers pitchers have collectively given up 1,397 base hits and 664 earned runs. They have allowed 178 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 456 batters and struck out 1,206. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.15.
As a team, Detroit is hitting .268, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .261 average on the road. The Tigers have a .438 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .332 which is good for 5th in the league. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.2 hits per contest. Miguel Cabrera comes into this game hitting .313 and his on-base percentage is at .392. He has 182 hits this season along with 89 runs scored and 105 runs batted in. He's struck out 113 times and has walked 75 times. Ian Kinsler is hitting .289 and he has an on-base percentage of .348. He has totaled 175 hits so far while scoring 116 runs and he's driven in 81. He has walked 44 times and has struck out 111 times. The Tigers have 1,453 hits, including 247 doubles and 206 home runs. They've stolen 58 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 29 times. Detroit has walked 486 times this season and they've struck out 1,268 times as a unit. They've left 1,085 men on base and have a team OPS of .770. They score 4.69 runs per contest and have scored a total of 741 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this game with a 28-49 home mark and a 65-92 overall record. With an ERA of 4.86, Matt Wisler has a 7-12 record and a 1.30 WHIP. He has 112 strikeouts over the 152 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 150 hits. He has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.64. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.98 and they have given up 527 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 530 times and walking 253 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.81 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.55 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.55. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,382 base knocks and 714 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 172 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 540 hitters and struck out 1,185. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.34.
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .262 average at home. The Braves hold a .384 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.77 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .270 and he has an OBP of .345. He has 159 hits this year along with 65 runs scored and 88 RBI. He's struck out 99 times and has walked on 68 occasions. Freddie Freeman is hitting .308 and he has an OBP of .406. He has collected 177 hits so far while he's scored 101 runs and drove in 88. He has earned a walk 88 times and has punched out 165 times. The Braves as a unit have 1,377 base hits, including 292 doubles and 117 homers. They have 73 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 34 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 490 times this year and they have struck out 1,202 times. They've had 1,135 men left on base and have an OPS of .706. They score 4.05 runs per game and have totaled 636 runs so far this season.
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 80-71-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 85-73-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 82-66-9 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 82-75-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23), out for season
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
09/18/16 P Rob Whalen Shoulder 60-day DL (8/25)
09/17/16 C A.J. Pierzynski Hamstring 60-day DL (9/11)
09/14/16 P Williams Perez Tricep "?" for next start
09/02/16 P Eric O'Flaherty Elbow 60-day DL (8/18)
08/31/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Shoulder 15-day DL (8/29)
08/01/16 P Matt Marksberry Shoulder 60-day DL (7/31)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 60-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Braves
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