Thursday, May 12, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Mike Pelfrey vs. Mike Wright
The Detroit Tigers visit Oriole Park on Thursday to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Mike Pelfrey for the Tigers and Mike Wright for the Orioles. The opening line for this matchup has Detroit at +150 and Baltimore at -160. The over/under was set at 9. The Tigers have a 22-10-0 over/under record and a 17-15-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Orioles are 17-14-0 against the run line and have a 12-17-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 55% of the time.
The Tigers head into this matchup with a 15-17 record, including 10-8 on the road. Starting pitcher Mike Pelfrey has a 0-4 record with an earned run average of 6.23 and a WHIP of 1.95. He has 15 strikeouts over his 30.1 innings pitched and he has given up 44 hits so far this season. He has allowed 13.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.16. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.80 and they have given up 107 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .268 against the bullpen while being struck out 74 times and walking 30 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.53 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.95 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.43. The Tigers pitchers have collectively given up 299 base hits and 139 earned runs. They have allowed 34 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 105 batters and struck out 218. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 6.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.31.
As a team, Detroit is batting .256, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .268 average away from home. The Tigers hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315 which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.81 hits per game. Nick Castellanos comes into this game hitting .378 and his on-base percentage is at .405. He has 42 hits this season along with 15 runs scored and 28 runs batted in. He's struck out 29 times and has walked 7 times. Ian Kinsler is hitting .299 and he has an on-base percentage of .340. He has totaled 40 hits so far while scoring 27 runs and he's driven in 17. He has walked 8 times and has struck out 22 times. The Tigers have 282 hits, including 49 doubles and 36 home runs. They've stolen 9 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 3 times. Detroit has walked 93 times this season and they've struck out 288 times as a unit. They've left 218 men on base and have a team OPS of .721. They score 4.38 runs per contest and have scored a total of 140 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this matchup with a 13-5 home record and a 19-12 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.83, Mike Wright has a 1-3 record and a 1.47 WHIP. He has 21 strikeouts over the 29.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 35 hits. He has allowed 10.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.12. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.37 and they have given up 85 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 96 times and walking 39 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.31 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.01 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.61. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 253 base knocks and 110 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 20 home runs this year and they give up 0.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 98 hitters and struck out 244. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 3.49.
As a team, they are batting .268, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .276 average at home. The Orioles hold a .455 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 8th in baseball with 9.03 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .365 and he has an OBP of .424. He has 46 hits this year along with 26 runs scored and 23 RBI. He's struck out 20 times and has walked on 12 occasions. Mark Trumbo is hitting .320 and he has an OBP of .371. He has collected 39 hits so far while he's scored 17 runs and drove in 24. He has earned a walk 8 times and has punched out 35 times. The Orioles as a unit have 280 base hits, including 58 doubles and 45 homers. They have 4 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 4 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 97 times this year and they have struck out 251 times. They've had 205 men left on base and have an OPS of .787. They score 4.48 runs per game and have totaled 139 runs so far this season.
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 22-10-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 17-15-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 12-17-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 17-14-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/10/16 1B Miguel Cabrera Knee "?" Wednesday vs. Washington Nationals
04/28/16 P Shane Greene Finger 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 CF Cameron Maybin Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Daniel Norris Back 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
05/03/16 SS J.J. Hardy Foot 15-day DL (5/2)
04/23/16 P Yovani Gallardo Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
03/31/16 3B Jimmy Paredes Wrist 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers
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