Monday, July 25, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Justin Verlander vs. Drew Pomeranz
The Detroit Tigers visit Fenway Park on Monday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Justin Verlander for the Tigers and Drew Pomeranz for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Detroit at +125 and Boston at -135. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Tigers have a 51-42-4 over/under record and a 54-43-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 56% of the time. The Red Sox are 49-46-0 against the run line and have a 50-40-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Tigers head into this matchup with a 51-46 record, including 25-27 on the road. Starting pitcher Justin Verlander has a 9-6 record with an earned run average of 3.74 and a WHIP of 1.08. He has 139 strikeouts over his 132.1 innings pitched and he has given up 106 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.71. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.35 and they have given up 314 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the bullpen while being struck out 260 times and walking 100 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.28 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.48 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.46. The Tigers pitchers have collectively given up 890 base hits and 426 earned runs. They have allowed 101 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 289 batters and struck out 721. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.11.
As a team, Detroit is batting .266, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .258 average away from home. The Tigers hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.14 hits per game. Ian Kinsler comes into this game hitting .293 and his on-base percentage is at .350. He has 115 hits this season along with 80 runs scored and 57 runs batted in. He's struck out 77 times and has walked 27 times. Nick Castellanos is hitting .297 and he has an on-base percentage of .337. He has totaled 107 hits so far while scoring 47 runs and he's driven in 54. He has walked 22 times and has struck out 92 times. The Tigers have 894 hits, including 150 doubles and 124 home runs. They've stolen 42 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. Detroit has walked 291 times this season and they've struck out 813 times as a unit. They've left 667 men on base and have a team OPS of .758. They score 4.63 runs per contest and have scored a total of 454 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 33-22 home record and a 54-41 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.83, Drew Pomeranz has a 8-7 record and a 1.12 WHIP. He has 119 strikeouts over the 105 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 75 hits. He has allowed 6.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.37. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.84 and they have given up 259 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 316 times and walking 112 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.82 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.46 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.37. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 832 base knocks and 412 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 111 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 299 hitters and struck out 798. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.19.
As a team, they are batting .291, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .304 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .478 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .357 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.32 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this matchup batting .307 and he has an OBP of .345. He has 127 hits this year along with 79 runs scored and 63 RBI. He's struck out 58 times and has walked on 25 occasions. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .329 and he has an OBP of .385. He has collected 129 hits so far while he's scored 72 runs and drove in 61. He has earned a walk 35 times and has punched out 64 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 980 base hits, including 230 doubles and 120 homers. They have 60 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 10 times. Boston as a team has walked 332 times this year and they have struck out 669 times. They've had 709 men left on base and have an OPS of .835. They score 5.67 runs per game and have totaled 539 runs so far this season.
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 51-42-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 54-43-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 50-40-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 49-46-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/06/16 P Daniel Norris Oblique 15-day DL (7/5)
07/04/16 P Jordan Zimmerman Neck 15-day DL (6/01)
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23)
06/17/16 RF J.D. Martinez Elbow 15-day DL (6/17)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
Boston Red Sox
07/23/16 RF Mookie Betts Knee "?" Sunday vs. Minnesota Twins
07/20/16 P Koji Uehara Pectoral 15-day DL
07/10/16 P Sean O'Sullivan Knee 15-day DL (7/10)
07/09/16 P Craig Kimbrel Knee 15-day DL (7/7)
06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Tigers
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