Wednesday, July 6, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Michael Fulmer vs. Josh Tomlin
The Detroit Tigers visit Progressive Field on Wednesday to play the Cleveland Indians. The probable starters are Michael Fulmer for the Tigers and Josh Tomlin for the Indians. The opening line for this matchup has Detroit at +121 and Cleveland at -131. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Tigers have a 47-32-4 over/under record and a 47-36-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 57% of the time. The Indians are 45-37-0 against the run line and have a 41-35-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 55% of the time.
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The Tigers head into this matchup with a 44-39 record, including 21-23 on the road. Starting pitcher Michael Fulmer has a 8-2 record with an earned run average of 2.17 and a WHIP of 1.09. He has 70 strikeouts over his 70.2 innings pitched and he has given up 52 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.52. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.34 and they have given up 268 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the bullpen while being struck out 222 times and walking 86 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.32 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.38 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.49. The Tigers pitchers have collectively given up 765 base hits and 369 earned runs. They have allowed 90 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 243 batters and struck out 606. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.19.
As a team, Detroit is batting .271, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .262 average away from home. The Tigers hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.41 hits per game. Nick Castellanos comes into this game hitting .302 and his on-base percentage is at .342. He has 93 hits this season along with 41 runs scored and 45 runs batted in. He's struck out 80 times and has walked 19 times. Ian Kinsler is hitting .290 and he has an on-base percentage of .348. He has totaled 97 hits so far while scoring 67 runs and he's driven in 52. He has walked 25 times and has struck out 65 times. The Tigers have 781 hits, including 134 doubles and 110 home runs. They've stolen 35 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 15 times. Detroit has walked 253 times this season and they've struck out 704 times as a unit. They've left 571 men on base and have a team OPS of .775. They score 4.88 runs per contest and have scored a total of 405 runs so far this year.
Cleveland comes into this matchup with a 24-12 home record and a 50-32 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.21, Josh Tomlin has a 9-1 record and a 1.09 WHIP. He has 64 strikeouts over the 95.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 94 hits. He has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.79. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.54 and they have given up 208 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 230 times and walking 99 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 7.92 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.47 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.58. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 656 base knocks and 296 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 94 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a staff has walked 237 hitters and struck out 701. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.20 while their FIP as a staff is 3.95.
As a team, they are batting .258, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .291 average at home. The Indians hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.94 hits per contest. Jason Kipnis comes into this matchup batting .267 and he has an OBP of .326. He has 85 hits this year along with 40 runs scored and 46 RBI. He's struck out 73 times and has walked on 27 occasions. Francisco Lindor is hitting .299 and he has an OBP of .355. He has collected 94 hits so far while he's scored 53 runs and drove in 41. He has earned a walk 29 times and has punched out 48 times. The Indians as a unit have 733 base hits, including 141 doubles and 103 homers. They have 64 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Cleveland as a team has walked 255 times this year and they have struck out 659 times. They've had 536 men left on base and have an OPS of .751. They score 4.82 runs per game and have totaled 395 runs so far this season.
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 47-32-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 47-36-0 against the run line so far this season
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 41-35-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 45-37-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/05/16 P Daniel Norris Oblique out indefinitely
07/04/16 P Jordan Zimmerman Neck 15-day DL (6/01)
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23)
06/17/16 RF J.D. Martinez Elbow 15-day DL (6/17)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/10)
05/02/16 C Roberto Perez Thumb 60-day DL (5/2)
Tony's Pick: Take the Tigers
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