Sunday, September 18, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Daniel Norris vs. Trevor Bauer
The Detroit Tigers head to Progressive Field on Sunday to take on the Cleveland Indians. The probable pitchers are Daniel Norris for the Tigers and Trevor Bauer for the Indians. The Tigers have a 72-68-7 over/under mark and a 77-70-0 run line record, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Indians are 70-77-0 against the run line and have a 73-64-10 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
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The Tigers head into this game with a 78-69 record, and they are 36-37 on the road. Starting pitcher Daniel Norris has a 2-2 record with an ERA of 3.81 and a WHIP of 1.46. He has 51 strikeouts during his 52 innings pitched and he has given up 59 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 10.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.16. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.15 and they have allowed 463 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the pen while they've been struck out 402 times and walked 164 times this year. As a unit, Detroit has given up 9.05 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.59 hitters per nine. They are 19th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.30. The Tigers pitchers have collectively given up 1,315 base hits and 625 earned runs. They have allowed 165 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 420 batters and struck out 1,103. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.17.
As a team, Detroit is hitting .265, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .263 average on the road. The Tigers have a .433 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .327 which is good for 8th in the league. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.1 hits per contest. Miguel Cabrera comes into this game hitting .306 and his on-base percentage is at .381. He has 166 hits this season along with 80 runs scored and 91 runs batted in. He's struck out 104 times and has walked 66 times. Ian Kinsler is hitting .278 and he has an on-base percentage of .336. He has totaled 160 hits so far while scoring 105 runs and he's driven in 78. He has walked 40 times and has struck out 108 times. The Tigers have 1,338 hits, including 225 doubles and 189 home runs. They've stolen 55 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 25 times. Detroit has walked 439 times this season and they've struck out 1,176 times as a unit. They've left 1,005 men on base and have a team OPS of .760. They score 4.54 runs per contest and have scored a total of 668 runs so far this year.
Cleveland comes into this game with a 48-25 home mark and a 85-62 overall record. With an ERA of 4.06, Trevor Bauer has a 11-7 record and a 1.29 WHIP. He has 148 strikeouts over the 170.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 156 hits. He has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.93. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.38 and they have given up 398 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 450 times and walking 173 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 8.27 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.71 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.82. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,215 base knocks and 561 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 172 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a staff has walked 430 hitters and struck out 1,281. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.94.
As a team, they are batting .265, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .294 average at home. The Indians hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.1 hits per contest. Jason Kipnis comes into this matchup batting .279 and he has an OBP of .346. He has 156 hits this year along with 84 runs scored and 78 RBI. He's struck out 129 times and has walked on 58 occasions. Francisco Lindor is hitting .313 and he has an OBP of .359. He has collected 179 hits so far while he's scored 93 runs and drove in 70. He has earned a walk 44 times and has punched out 82 times. The Indians as a unit have 1,337 base hits, including 282 doubles and 176 homers. They have 119 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 28 times. Cleveland as a team has walked 475 times this year and they have struck out 1,139 times. They've had 984 men left on base and have an OPS of .765. They score 4.92 runs per game and have totaled 723 runs so far this season.
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 72-68-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 77-70-0 against the run line so far this season
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 73-64-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 70-77-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/07/16 3B Nick Castellanos Hand 15-day DL (8/7)
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23), out for season
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
09/17/16 C Yan Gomes Wrist 60-day DL (7/18)
09/16/16 RF Lonnie Chisenhall Abdominal "?" Saturday vs. Detroit Tigers
09/13/16 P Danny Salazar Forearm out indefinitely
07/18/16 P Tommy Hunter Back 15-day DL (7/10)
07/07/16 P Zach McAllister Hip 15-day DL (7/6)
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/10); out for season
Josh's Pick: Take the Indians
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