Thursday, June 16, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Justin Verlander vs. Danny Duffy
The Detroit Tigers head to Kauffman Stadium on Thursday to take on the Kansas City Royals. The probable pitchers are Justin Verlander for the Tigers and Danny Duffy for the Royals. The opening line for this game has Detroit at -121 and Kansas City at +111. The over/under is 8. The Tigers have a 37-23-4 over/under mark and a 37-27-0 run line record, meaning they cover 58% of the time. The Royals are 35-29-0 against the run line and have a 26-34-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 55% of the time.
The Tigers head into this game with a 33-31 record, and they are 16-18 on the road. Starting pitcher Justin Verlander has a 6-5 record with an ERA of 3.77 and a WHIP of 1.06. He has 90 strikeouts during his 86 innings pitched and he has given up 67 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.45. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.34 and they have allowed 195 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the pen while they've been struck out 162 times and walked 66 times this year. As a unit, Detroit has given up 9.02 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.4 hitters per nine. They are 21st in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.35. The Tigers pitchers have collectively given up 566 base hits and 273 earned runs. They have allowed 69 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 199 batters and struck out 464. They walk 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.20.
As a team, Detroit is hitting .271, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .262 average on the road. The Tigers have a .439 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .331 which is good for 5th in the league. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.38 hits per contest. Nick Castellanos comes into this game hitting .297 and his on-base percentage is at .329. He has 69 hits this season along with 30 runs scored and 37 runs batted in. He's struck out 63 times and has walked 13 times. Ian Kinsler is hitting .314 and he has an on-base percentage of .367. He has totaled 81 hits so far while scoring 56 runs and he's driven in 44. He has walked 19 times and has struck out 47 times. The Tigers have 600 hits, including 111 doubles and 77 home runs. They've stolen 25 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. Detroit has walked 194 times this season and they've struck out 548 times as a unit. They've left 444 men on base and have a team OPS of .771. They score 4.77 runs per contest and have scored a total of 305 runs so far this year.
Kansas City comes into this game with a 21-7 home mark and a 34-30 overall record. With an ERA of 2.94, Danny Duffy has a 2-1 record and a 1.06 WHIP. He has 59 strikeouts over the 49 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 42 hits. He has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.11. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.57 and they have given up 181 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the Royals bullpen while being struck out 209 times and walking 74 times this season. As a team, Kansas City has allowed 8.57 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.95. The Royals pitchers as a team have surrendered 532 base knocks and 245 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 76 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Kansas City as a staff has walked 215 hitters and struck out 515. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.34.
As a team, they are batting .270, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .277 average at home. The Royals hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.16 hits per contest. Eric Hosmer comes into this matchup batting .317 and he has an OBP of .374. He has 76 hits this year along with 33 runs scored and 38 RBI. He's struck out 48 times and has walked on 23 occasions. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .280 and he has an OBP of .332. He has collected 67 hits so far while he's scored 30 runs and drove in 34. He has earned a walk 18 times and has punched out 59 times. The Royals as a unit have 586 base hits, including 103 doubles and 57 homers. They have 43 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Kansas City as a team has walked 143 times this year and they have struck out 468 times. They've had 432 men left on base and have an OPS of .721. They score 3.77 runs per game and have totaled 241 runs so far this season.
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 37-23-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 37-27-0 against the run line so far this season
Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
The Kansas City Royals are 26-34-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Kansas City Royals are 35-29-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/15/16 CF Cameron Maybin Wrist "?" Wednesday vs. Chicago White Sox
06/15/16 SS Mike Aviles Wrist injured last game, "?" Wednesday vs. Chicago White Sox
06/14/16 DH Victor Martinez Knee "?" Wednesday vs. Chicago White Sox
04/04/16 P Daniel Norris Back 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
Kansas City Royals
06/02/16 CF Brett Eibner Ankle 15-day DL (6/1)
05/26/16 3B Mike Moustakas Knee 60-day DL (5/23); out for season
05/23/16 LF Alex Gordon Wrist 15-day DL (5/22)
05/12/16 P Kris Medlen Shoulder 15-day DL (5/11)
04/10/16 P Mike Minor Shoulder 60-day DL (3/15)
04/04/16 P Tim Collins Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
03/31/16 P Jason Vargas Elbow 60-day DL (3/15)
Guy's Pick: Take the Royals
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