Friday, April 29, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Michael Fulmer vs. Phil Hughes
The Detroit Tigers visit Target Field on Friday to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Michael Fulmer for the Tigers and Phil Hughes for the Twins. The opening line for this matchup has Detroit at +105 and Minnesota at -115. The over/under was set at 9. The Tigers have a 13-7-0 over/under record and a 11-9-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 55% of the time. The Twins are 11-11-0 against the run line and have a 9-12-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Tigers head into this matchup with a 10-10 record, including 6-4 on the road. Starting pitcher Michael Fulmer will be making his season debut for the Tigers. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.10 and they have given up 71 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .268 against the bullpen while being struck out 49 times and walking 18 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.46 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.72 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 3.94. The Tigers pitchers have collectively given up 187 base hits and 78 earned runs. They have allowed 17 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 65 batters and struck out 133. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 6.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.00.
As a team, Detroit is batting .255, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .265 average away from home. The Tigers hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 8th in baseball with 8.8 hits per game. Miguel Cabrera comes into this game hitting .267 and his on-base percentage is at .345. He has 20 hits this season along with 10 runs scored and 10 runs batted in. He's struck out 17 times and has walked 9 times. Ian Kinsler is hitting .337 and he has an on-base percentage of .364. He has totaled 28 hits so far while scoring 18 runs and he's driven in 12. He has walked 3 times and has struck out 17 times. The Tigers have 176 hits, including 30 doubles and 24 home runs. They've stolen 4 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 3 times. Detroit has walked 54 times this season and they've struck out 181 times as a unit. They've left 134 men on base and have a team OPS of .716. They score 4.45 runs per contest and have scored a total of 89 runs so far this year.
Minnesota comes into this matchup with a 6-5 home record and a 7-15 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.91, Phil Hughes has a 1-3 record and a 1.15 WHIP. He has 19 strikeouts over the 25.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 25 hits. He has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.11. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.97 and they have given up 69 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 82 times and walking 32 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 8.89 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.07 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 3.88. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 195 base knocks and 85 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 23 home runs this year and they give up 1 home run per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 69 hitters and struck out 177. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 3.96.
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .260 average at home. The Twins hold a .388 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.36 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .316 and he has an OBP of .459. He has 24 hits this year along with 8 runs scored and 7 RBI. He's struck out 8 times and has walked on 20 occasions. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .392 and he has an OBP of .439. He has collected 20 hits so far while he's scored 9 runs and drove in 8. He has earned a walk 2 times and has punched out 9 times. The Twins as a unit have 184 base hits, including 43 doubles and 20 homers. They have 14 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 76 times this year and they have struck out 201 times. They've had 172 men left on base and have an OPS of .703. They score 3.5 runs per game and have totaled 77 runs so far this season.
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 13-7-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 11-9-0 against the run line so far this season
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 9-12-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 11-11-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/28/16 P Shane Greene Finger 15-day DL (4/25)
04/12/16 C James McCann Ankle 15-day DL (4/12)
04/04/16 CF Cameron Maybin Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Daniel Norris Back 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
04/27/16 P Ervin Santana Back 15-day DL (4/20)
04/27/16 P Kyle Gibson Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
04/18/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Side 15-day DL (4/18)
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 15-day DL (4/11)
Guy's Pick: Take the Tigers
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