Wednesday, August 24, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Matt Boyd vs. Tyler Duffey
The Detroit Tigers visit Target Field on Wednesday to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Matt Boyd for the Tigers and Tyler Duffey for the Twins. The opening line for this matchup has Detroit at -118 and Minnesota at +108. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Tigers have a 61-57-6 over/under record and a 67-57-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Twins are 65-59-0 against the run line and have a 74-43-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Tigers head into this matchup with a 65-59 record, including 30-33 on the road. Starting pitcher Matt Boyd has a 4-2 record with an earned run average of 3.93 and a WHIP of 1.22. He has 57 strikeouts over his 68.2 innings pitched and he has given up 61 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.71. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.31 and they have given up 397 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the bullpen while being struck out 328 times and walking 126 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.46 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Tigers pitchers have collectively given up 1,115 base hits and 520 earned runs. They have allowed 137 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 354 batters and struck out 914. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.18.
As a team, Detroit is batting .265, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .259 average away from home. The Tigers hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.1 hits per game. Miguel Cabrera comes into this game hitting .305 and his on-base percentage is at .380. He has 140 hits this season along with 68 runs scored and 78 runs batted in. He's struck out 91 times and has walked 55 times. Ian Kinsler is hitting .278 and he has an on-base percentage of .338. He has totaled 138 hits so far while scoring 93 runs and he's driven in 63. He has walked 36 times and has struck out 99 times. The Tigers have 1,129 hits, including 182 doubles and 162 home runs. They've stolen 49 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 20 times. Detroit has walked 363 times this season and they've struck out 1,009 times as a unit. They've left 838 men on base and have a team OPS of .758. They score 4.6 runs per contest and have scored a total of 571 runs so far this year.
Minnesota comes into this matchup with a 25-37 home record and a 49-75 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.93, Tyler Duffey has a 8-9 record and a 1.45 WHIP. He has 94 strikeouts over the 112.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 135 hits. He has allowed 10.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.67. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.25 and they have given up 449 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .267 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 395 times and walking 135 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.36 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.94. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,236 base knocks and 605 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 168 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 328 hitters and struck out 901. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.46.
As a team, they are batting .256, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .258 average at home. The Twins hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.87 hits per contest. Brian Dozier comes into this matchup batting .266 and he has an OBP of .340. He has 123 hits this year along with 75 runs scored and 74 RBI. He's struck out 87 times and has walked on 47 occasions. Joe Mauer is hitting .276 and he has an OBP of .376. He has collected 117 hits so far while he's scored 62 runs and drove in 44. He has earned a walk 68 times and has punched out 80 times. The Twins as a unit have 1,100 base hits, including 228 doubles and 147 homers. They have 78 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 24 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 392 times this year and they have struck out 1,055 times. They've had 871 men left on base and have an OPS of .745. They score 4.53 runs per game and have totaled 562 runs so far this season.
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 61-57-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 67-57-0 against the run line so far this season
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 74-43-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 65-59-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/13/16 SS Jose Iglesias Hamstring 15-day DL (8/11)
08/07/16 P Jordan Zimmerman Neck 15-day DL (8/5)
08/07/16 3B Nick Castellanos Hand 15-day DL (8/7)
08/02/16 P Mike Pelfrey Back 15-day DL (8/2)
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23), out for season
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
08/13/16 P Tommy Milone Bicep 15-day DL (8/11)
08/11/16 P Trevor May Back 15-day DL (8/7)
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers
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