Friday, July 1, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Michael Fulmer vs. Drew Smyly
The Detroit Tigers visit Tropicana Field on Friday to play the Tampa Bay Rays. The probable starters are Michael Fulmer for the Tigers and Drew Smyly for the Rays. The opening line for this matchup has Detroit at -101 and Tampa Bay at -109. The over/under was set at 8. The Tigers have a 45-29-4 over/under record and a 44-34-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 56% of the time. The Rays are 32-45-0 against the run line and have a 35-37-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 42% of the time.
The Tigers head into this matchup with a 40-38 record, including 17-22 on the road. Starting pitcher Michael Fulmer has a 7-2 record with an earned run average of 2.40 and a WHIP of 1.16. He has 60 strikeouts over his 63.2 innings pitched and he has given up 50 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.82. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 255 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .267 against the bullpen while being struck out 205 times and walking 81 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.43 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.28 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.58. The Tigers pitchers have collectively given up 728 base hits and 354 earned runs. They have allowed 88 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 230 batters and struck out 562. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.27.
As a team, Detroit is batting .270, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .260 average away from home. The Tigers hold a .445 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.41 hits per game. Nick Castellanos comes into this game hitting .301 and his on-base percentage is at .338. He has 87 hits this season along with 38 runs scored and 42 runs batted in. He's struck out 76 times and has walked 17 times. Ian Kinsler is hitting .295 and he has an on-base percentage of .351. He has totaled 93 hits so far while scoring 63 runs and he's driven in 47. He has walked 22 times and has struck out 58 times. The Tigers have 734 hits, including 127 doubles and 104 home runs. They've stolen 31 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 12 times. Detroit has walked 231 times this season and they've struck out 660 times as a unit. They've left 539 men on base and have a team OPS of .774. They score 4.79 runs per contest and have scored a total of 374 runs so far this year.
Tampa Bay comes into this matchup with a 17-21 home record and a 33-44 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.32, Drew Smyly has a 2-8 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He has 100 strikeouts over the 89.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 91 hits. He has allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.42. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.45 and they have given up 233 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the Rays bullpen while being struck out 207 times and walking 85 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 8.99 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.66 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.40. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 677 base knocks and 331 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 105 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 229 hitters and struck out 652. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.34.
As a team, they are batting .240, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .229 average at home. The Rays hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.13 hits per contest. Evan Longoria comes into this matchup batting .278 and he has an OBP of .331. He has 83 hits this year along with 44 runs scored and 44 RBI. He's struck out 75 times and has walked on 24 occasions. Logan Forsythe is hitting .300 and he has an OBP of .367. He has collected 57 hits so far while he's scored 27 runs and drove in 18. He has earned a walk 17 times and has punched out 46 times. The Rays as a unit have 626 base hits, including 135 doubles and 109 homers. They have 26 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 18 times. Tampa Bay as a team has walked 233 times this year and they have struck out 713 times. They've had 524 men left on base and have an OPS of .738. They score 4.08 runs per game and have totaled 314 runs so far this season.
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 45-29-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 44-34-0 against the run line so far this season
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 35-37-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 32-45-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23)
06/17/16 RF J.D. Martinez Elbow 15-day DL (6/17)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
Tampa Bay Rays
06/29/16 RF Oswaldo Arcia Illness "?" Thursday vs. Detroit Tigers
06/29/16 LF Corey Dickerson Thumb "?" Thursday vs. Detroit Tigers
06/28/16 P Alex Colome Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/21/16 CF Mike Mahtook Hand 15-day DL (6/21)
06/21/16 2B Steve Pearce Hamstring 15-day DL (6/21)
06/17/16 RF Steven Souza Hip 15-day DL (6/15)
06/02/16 P Brad Boxberger Oblique 15-day DL (6/1)
05/23/16 CF Kevin Kiermaier Hand 15-day DL (5/22)
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers
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