Saturday, July 2, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Justin Verlander vs. Blake Snell
The Detroit Tigers visit Tropicana Field on Saturday to play the Tampa Bay Rays. The probable starters are Justin Verlander for the Tigers and Blake Snell for the Rays. The opening line for this matchup has Detroit at -123 and Tampa Bay at +113. The over/under was set at 8. The Tigers have a 46-29-4 over/under record and a 45-34-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 57% of the time. The Rays are 32-46-0 against the run line and have a 36-37-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 41% of the time.
The Tigers head into this matchup with a 41-38 record, including 18-22 on the road. Starting pitcher Justin Verlander has a 7-6 record with an earned run average of 4.30 and a WHIP of 1.13. He has 107 strikeouts over his 104.2 innings pitched and he has given up 90 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.02. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.38 and they have given up 260 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the bullpen while being struck out 207 times and walking 81 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.49 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.25 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.60. The Tigers pitchers have collectively given up 742 base hits and 360 earned runs. They have allowed 88 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 232 batters and struck out 567. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.26.
As a team, Detroit is batting .271, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .262 average away from home. The Tigers hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.43 hits per game. Nick Castellanos comes into this game hitting .301 and his on-base percentage is at .340. He has 88 hits this season along with 39 runs scored and 42 runs batted in. He's struck out 76 times and has walked 18 times. Ian Kinsler is hitting .295 and he has an on-base percentage of .351. He has totaled 94 hits so far while scoring 64 runs and he's driven in 49. He has walked 23 times and has struck out 60 times. The Tigers have 745 hits, including 129 doubles and 104 home runs. They've stolen 32 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 12 times. Detroit has walked 236 times this season and they've struck out 667 times as a unit. They've left 542 men on base and have a team OPS of .775. They score 4.86 runs per contest and have scored a total of 384 runs so far this year.
Tampa Bay comes into this matchup with a 17-22 home record and a 33-45 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.54, Blake Snell has a 1-2 record and a 1.77 WHIP. He has 16 strikeouts over the 20.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 25 hits. He has allowed 11.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.21. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.68 and they have given up 241 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the Rays bullpen while being struck out 207 times and walking 87 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 9.02 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.64 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.47. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 688 base knocks and 341 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 105 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 234 hitters and struck out 659. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.33.
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .233 average at home. The Rays hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.21 hits per contest. Evan Longoria comes into this matchup batting .284 and he has an OBP of .338. He has 86 hits this year along with 45 runs scored and 44 RBI. He's struck out 75 times and has walked on 25 occasions. Logan Forsythe is hitting .308 and he has an OBP of .372. He has collected 60 hits so far while he's scored 28 runs and drove in 19. He has earned a walk 17 times and has punched out 46 times. The Rays as a unit have 640 base hits, including 141 doubles and 109 homers. They have 27 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 18 times. Tampa Bay as a team has walked 235 times this year and they have struck out 718 times. They've had 531 men left on base and have an OPS of .740. They score 4.12 runs per game and have totaled 321 runs so far this season.
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 46-29-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 45-34-0 against the run line so far this season
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 36-37-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 32-46-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23)
06/17/16 RF J.D. Martinez Elbow 15-day DL (6/17)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
Tampa Bay Rays
06/30/16 LF Desmond Jennings Hamstring left last game, "?" Friday vs. Detroit Tigers
06/28/16 P Alex Colome Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/21/16 CF Mike Mahtook Hand 15-day DL (6/21)
06/21/16 2B Steve Pearce Hamstring 15-day DL (6/21)
06/17/16 RF Steven Souza Hip 15-day DL (6/15)
06/02/16 P Brad Boxberger Oblique 15-day DL (6/1)
05/23/16 CF Kevin Kiermaier Hand 15-day DL (5/22)
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers
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