Thursday, July 7, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Justin Verlander vs. Marco Estrada
The Detroit Tigers visit Rogers Centre on Thursday to play the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable starters are Justin Verlander for the Tigers and Marco Estrada for the Blue Jays. The opening line for this matchup has Detroit at +118 and Toronto at -128. The over/under was set at 9. The Tigers have a 48-32-4 over/under record and a 47-37-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 56% of the time. The Blue Jays are 45-41-0 against the run line and have a 35-47-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
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The Tigers head into this matchup with a 44-40 record, including 21-24 on the road. Starting pitcher Justin Verlander has a 8-6 record with an earned run average of 4.11 and a WHIP of 1.10. He has 115 strikeouts over his 111.2 innings pitched and he has given up 94 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.89. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.45 and they have given up 276 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .268 against the bullpen while being struck out 224 times and walking 89 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.37 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.4 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.59. The Tigers pitchers have collectively given up 778 base hits and 381 earned runs. They have allowed 92 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 250 batters and struck out 614. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.22.
As a team, Detroit is batting .269, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .260 average away from home. The Tigers hold a .440 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.35 hits per game. Nick Castellanos comes into this game hitting .302 and his on-base percentage is at .342. He has 93 hits this season along with 41 runs scored and 45 runs batted in. He's struck out 80 times and has walked 19 times. Ian Kinsler is hitting .288 and he has an on-base percentage of .348. He has totaled 97 hits so far while scoring 68 runs and he's driven in 52. He has walked 26 times and has struck out 65 times. The Tigers have 785 hits, including 134 doubles and 110 home runs. They've stolen 35 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 15 times. Detroit has walked 258 times this season and they've struck out 712 times as a unit. They've left 577 men on base and have a team OPS of .771. They score 4.83 runs per contest and have scored a total of 406 runs so far this year.
Toronto comes into this matchup with a 23-19 home record and a 47-39 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.93, Marco Estrada has a 5-3 record and a 0.99 WHIP. He has 99 strikeouts over the 104.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 64 hits. He has allowed 5.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.14. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.21 and they have given up 237 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 232 times and walking 68 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.37 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.74 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.84. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 724 base knocks and 332 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 100 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 246 hitters and struck out 670. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 4.17.
As a team, they are batting .250, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .265 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .440 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.53 hits per contest. Josh Donaldson comes into this matchup batting .304 and he has an OBP of .415. He has 97 hits this year along with 77 runs scored and 60 RBI. He's struck out 64 times and has walked on 57 occasions. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .267 and he has an OBP of .358. He has collected 85 hits so far while he's scored 55 runs and drove in 77. He has earned a walk 43 times and has punched out 73 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 733 base hits, including 150 doubles and 127 homers. They have 31 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 14 times. Toronto as a team has walked 331 times this year and they have struck out 713 times. They've had 587 men left on base and have an OPS of .772. They score 4.93 runs per game and have totaled 424 runs so far this season.
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 48-32-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 47-37-0 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 35-47-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 45-41-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/06/16 P Daniel Norris Oblique 15-day DL (7/5)
07/05/16 3B Nick Castellanos Flu "?" Wednesday vs. Cleveland Indians
07/04/16 P Jordan Zimmerman Neck 15-day DL (6/01)
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23)
06/17/16 RF J.D. Martinez Elbow 15-day DL (6/17)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
Toronto Blue Jays
07/03/16 P Marco Estrada Back "?" for next scheduled start
07/02/16 2B Ryan Goins Forearm 15-day DL (7/2)
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 15-day DL (6/26)
06/17/16 RF Jose Bautista Toe 15-day DL (6/17)
04/22/16 1B Chris Colabello Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/10/16 P Franklin Morales Arm 60-day DL (4/7)
Guy's Pick: Take the Tigers
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