Friday, July 8, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Mike Pelfrey vs. J.A. Happ
The Detroit Tigers visit Rogers Centre on Friday to play the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable starters are Mike Pelfrey for the Tigers and J.A. Happ for the Blue Jays. The opening line for this matchup has Detroit at +155 and Toronto at -165. The over/under was set at 10. The Tigers have a 49-32-4 over/under record and a 48-37-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 57% of the time. The Blue Jays are 46-41-0 against the run line and have a 35-48-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
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The Tigers head into this matchup with a 45-40 record, including 22-24 on the road. Starting pitcher Mike Pelfrey has a 2-7 record with an earned run average of 4.78 and a WHIP of 1.72. He has 44 strikeouts over his 92.1 innings pitched and he has given up 124 hits so far this season. He has allowed 12.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.29. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.40 and they have given up 278 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .267 against the bullpen while being struck out 226 times and walking 90 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.35 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.36 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.55. The Tigers pitchers have collectively given up 785 base hits and 382 earned runs. They have allowed 92 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 253 batters and struck out 618. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.22.
As a team, Detroit is batting .270, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .261 average away from home. The Tigers hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.38 hits per game. Nick Castellanos comes into this game hitting .307 and his on-base percentage is at .346. He has 96 hits this season along with 43 runs scored and 50 runs batted in. He's struck out 81 times and has walked 19 times. Ian Kinsler is hitting .293 and he has an on-base percentage of .352. He has totaled 100 hits so far while scoring 71 runs and he's driven in 52. He has walked 26 times and has struck out 66 times. The Tigers have 797 hits, including 136 doubles and 112 home runs. They've stolen 35 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 15 times. Detroit has walked 260 times this season and they've struck out 721 times as a unit. They've left 579 men on base and have a team OPS of .772. They score 4.92 runs per contest and have scored a total of 418 runs so far this year.
Toronto comes into this matchup with a 24-19 home record and a 48-39 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.54, J.A. Happ has a 11-3 record and a 1.20 WHIP. He has 80 strikeouts over the 106.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 97 hits. He has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.21. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.19 and they have given up 238 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 233 times and walking 68 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.32 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.74 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.82. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 728 base knocks and 334 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 101 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 247 hitters and struck out 677. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 4.16.
As a team, they are batting .250, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .264 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .440 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.52 hits per contest. Josh Donaldson comes into this matchup batting .301 and he has an OBP of .413. He has 97 hits this year along with 77 runs scored and 60 RBI. He's struck out 65 times and has walked on 58 occasions. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .270 and he has an OBP of .359. He has collected 87 hits so far while he's scored 56 runs and drove in 77. He has earned a walk 43 times and has punched out 74 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 741 base hits, including 153 doubles and 128 homers. They have 31 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 14 times. Toronto as a team has walked 332 times this year and they have struck out 729 times. They've had 592 men left on base and have an OPS of .771. They score 4.92 runs per game and have totaled 428 runs so far this season.
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 49-32-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 48-37-0 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 35-48-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 46-41-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/06/16 P Daniel Norris Oblique 15-day DL (7/5)
07/04/16 P Jordan Zimmerman Neck 15-day DL (6/01)
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23)
06/17/16 RF J.D. Martinez Elbow 15-day DL (6/17)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
Toronto Blue Jays
07/07/16 P Marco Estrada Back 15-day DL (7/3)
07/02/16 2B Ryan Goins Forearm 15-day DL (7/2)
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 15-day DL (6/26)
06/17/16 RF Jose Bautista Toe 15-day DL (6/17)
04/22/16 1B Chris Colabello Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/10/16 P Franklin Morales Shoulder 60-day DL (4/7)
Tony's Pick: Take the Tigers
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