Monday, May 30, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Collin McHugh vs. Edwin Escobar
The Houston Astros visit Chase Field on Monday to play the Arizona Diamondbacks. The probable starters are Collin McHugh for the Astros and Edwin Escobar for the Diamondbacks. The opening line for this matchup has Houston at -129 and Arizona at +119. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Astros have a 24-21-5 over/under record and a 21-29-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 42% of the time. The Diamondbacks are 23-28-0 against the run line and have a 27-21-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 45% of the time.
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The Astros head into this matchup with a 21-29 record, including 8-16 on the road. Starting pitcher Collin McHugh has a 4-4 record with an earned run average of 5.13 and a WHIP of 1.60. He has 48 strikeouts over his 52.2 innings pitched and he has given up 71 hits so far this season. He has allowed 12.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.51. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.37 and they have given up 147 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the bullpen while being struck out 190 times and walking 37 times this season. As a team, Houston has allowed 9.22 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.19 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Astros pitchers have collectively given up 465 base hits and 221 earned runs. They have allowed 56 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 133 batters and struck out 413. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 3.82.
As a team, Houston is batting .229, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .233 average away from home. The Astros hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 7.74 hits per game. Jose Altuve comes into this game hitting .313 and his on-base percentage is at .396. He has 61 hits this season along with 39 runs scored and 28 runs batted in. He's struck out 22 times and has walked 26 times. Carlos Correa is hitting .241 and he has an on-base percentage of .329. He has totaled 46 hits so far while scoring 22 runs and he's driven in 22. He has walked 23 times and has struck out 54 times. The Astros have 387 hits, including 93 doubles and 63 home runs. They've stolen 40 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 15 times. Houston has walked 185 times this season and they've struck out 496 times as a unit. They've left 336 men on base and have a team OPS of .709. They score 3.98 runs per contest and have scored a total of 199 runs so far this year.
Arizona comes into this matchup with a 8-18 home record and a 22-29 overall mark. Edwin Escobar is making his season debut for Arizona. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.50 and they have given up 185 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .271 against the Diamondbacks bullpen while being struck out 153 times and walking 76 times this season. As a team, Arizona has allowed 9.65 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.80. The Diamondbacks pitchers as a team have surrendered 495 base knocks and 246 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 58 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Arizona as a staff has walked 185 hitters and struck out 395. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 4.36.
As a team, they are batting .269, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .263 average at home. The Diamondbacks hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.47 hits per contest. Paul Goldschmidt comes into this matchup batting .250 and he has an OBP of .413. He has 43 hits this year along with 26 runs scored and 30 RBI. He's struck out 52 times and has walked on 47 occasions. Jean Segura is hitting .307 and he has an OBP of .335. He has collected 63 hits so far while he's scored 27 runs and drove in 24. He has earned a walk 5 times and has punched out 28 times. The Diamondbacks as a unit have 483 base hits, including 99 doubles and 58 homers. They have 35 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. Arizona as a team has walked 152 times this year and they have struck out 397 times. They've had 367 men left on base and have an OPS of .774. They score 4.57 runs per game and have totaled 233 runs so far this season.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 24-21-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 21-29-0 against the run line so far this season
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 27-21-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 23-28-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/17/16 CF Carlos Gomez Ribs 15-day DL (5/16)
05/28/16 P Shelby Miller Finger 15-day DL (5/25)
05/27/16 P Rubby De La Rosa Elbow 15-day DL (5/26)
05/15/16 RF David Peralta Wrist 15-day DL (5/9)
04/02/16 CF A.J. Pollock Elbow 60-day DL (4/2), out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Astros
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